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Tuesday 27 January 2026 · 19:45 · HT 1-0 · Referee Craig Hicks

Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Bristol Rovers's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 13 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 8.5 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.6 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Bristol Rovers, full match

54%

Possession

46%

2.11

Expected goals (xG)

0.97

12

Shots

14

3

Shots on target

3

4

Corners

3

10

Fouls

18

3

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

0

3

Offsides

3

Goals and cards

27'

Yellow card

Callum Paterson MIL

28'

Yellow card

Riley Harbottle BRI

40'

Yellow card

Luke Offord MIL

45+7'

Goal

Callum Paterson MIL

89'

Yellow card

Kamil Conteh BRI

90'

Yellow card

Jack Sparkes BRI

90'

Yellow card

Liam Kelly MIL

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

D

L

D

Bristol Rovers

14th in the table

L

W

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Bristol Rovers's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Bristol Rovers's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

65%

13/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

17/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

12/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

40%

8/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

40%

8/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

70%

14/20 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Bristol Rovers clean sheet

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

0%

0/10 games · League 27%

Bristol Rovers fail to score

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 2.6

Corners

8.5

League 9.8

Cards

4.6

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

15

16

22

25

32

MIDFIELDERS

8

Alex Gilbey

26

Ben Wiles

28

Jay Matete

FORWARDS

10

Aaron Collins

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

2

21

6

7

24

Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

9

Scott Hogan

Bristol Rovers

3-4-3

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

13

Brad Young

DEFENDERS

2

3

4

17

26

MIDFIELDERS

6

Clinton Mola

15

Ryan De Havilland

FORWARDS

7

Shaqai Forde

19

Ellis Harrison

29

Fabrizio Cavegn

SUBSTITUTES

1

8

11

22

10

35

39

Referee: Craig Hicks

10 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

2.9

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

2.9

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

26.2

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.30

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Craig Hicks's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

BRI

Match

League

Goals per match

3.0

2.6

2.8

2.6

Over 0.5

96%

26/27

96%

25/26

96%

51/53

94%

Over 1.5

85%

23/27

65%

17/26

75%

40/53

75%

Over 2.5

59%

16/27

54%

14/26

57%

30/53

48%

Over 3.5

41%

11/27

31%

8/26

36%

19/53

28%

Over 4.5

19%

5/27

12%

3/26

15%

8/53

12%

Bet

MIL

BRI

Match

League

Yes

63%

17/27

42%

11/26

53%

28/53

55%

Yes and win

22%

6/27

12%

3/26

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

48%

13/27

35%

9/26

42%

22/53

42%

Yes and draw

26%

7/27

8%

2/26

17%

9/53

20%

Yes and loss

15%

4/27

23%

6/26

17%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/27

0%

0/26

0%

0/53

–

Bet

MIL

BRI

Match

League

Corners per match

8.4

9.5

9.0

9.7

Over 7.5

67%

18/27

62%

16/26

64%

34/53

73%

Over 8.5

48%

13/27

50%

13/26

49%

26/53

62%

Over 9.5

33%

9/27

42%

11/26

38%

20/53

51%

Over 10.5

22%

6/27

38%

10/26

30%

16/53

38%

Over 11.5

7%

2/27

27%

7/26

17%

9/53

26%

Over 12.5

7%

2/27

27%

7/26

17%

9/53

19%

Referee Craig Hicks: 2.9 cards and 26.2 fouls per game in 10 games this season

Bet

MIL

BRI

Match

League

Cards per match

4.0

5.0

4.5

4.1

Over 2.5

85%

23/27

96%

25/26

91%

48/53

79%

Over 3.5

67%

18/27

88%

23/26

77%

41/53

60%

Over 4.5

44%

12/27

62%

16/26

53%

28/53

42%

Over 5.5

7%

2/27

35%

9/26

21%

11/53

23%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Callum Paterson

23 starts · 0.5 per 90

13%

3/23

39%

9/23

4%

1/23

4%

1/23

Fabrizio Cavegn

21 starts · 0.5 per 90

14%

3/21

33%

7/21

5%

1/21

5%

1/21

Aaron Collins

7 starts · 0.5 per 90

14%

1/7

29%

2/7

14%

1/7

0%

0/7

See all 21 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.