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Full time

Saturday 11 October 2025 · 15:00 · HT 0-1 · Referee Scott Oldham

Bristol Rovers v Milton Keynes Dons: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Bristol Rovers's last 5 home games and Milton Keynes Dons's last 5 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 6 of 10, over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10, with 10.4 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.5 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Bristol Rovers v Milton Keynes Dons, full match

52%

Possession

48%

0.36

Expected goals (xG)

1.23

6

Shots

13

1

Shots on target

7

Corners

2

9

Fouls

13

2

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

2

Offsides

1

Goals and cards

7'

Yellow card

Macauley Southam-Hales BRI

8'

Own goal

Alfie Kilgour MIL

45'

Yellow card

Marvin Ekpiteta MIL

75'

Yellow card

Alex Gilbey MIL

83'

Goal

Laurence Maguire MIL

89'

Yellow card

Kacper Łopata BRI

90'

Goal

Alex Gilbey MIL

90+3'

Goal

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy MIL

At a glance

Bristol Rovers

14th in the table

L

W

D

W

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

L

D

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Bristol Rovers's home games and Milton Keynes Dons's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Bristol Rovers's last 5 home games and Milton Keynes Dons's last 5 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

6/10 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

70%

7/10 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

4/10 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

0%

0/10 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

50%

5/10 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

80%

8/10 games · League 55%

Bristol Rovers clean sheet

40%

2/5 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Bristol Rovers fail to score

40%

2/5 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

0%

0/5 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.0

League 2.6

Corners

10.4

League 9.8

Cards

4.5

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Bristol Rovers

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

13

Brad Young

DEFENDERS

3

Jack Sparkes

5

Alfie Kilgour

6

Clinton Mola

23

Macauley Southam-Hales

35

Kacper Łopata

MIDFIELDERS

20

Josh McEachran

24

Alfie Chang

FORWARDS

11

Luke Thomas

19

Ellis Harrison

29

Fabrizio Cavegn

SUBSTITUTES

2

4

27

28

22

25

10

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

15

16

21

22

23

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

18

Will Collar

FORWARDS

11

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

4

32

7

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

17

Jonathan Leko

29

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Referee: Scott Oldham

12 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.7

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.6

Red cards per game

0.08

Fouls per game

21.8

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.25

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Scott Oldham's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

BRI

MIL

Match

League

Goals per match

2.4

2.8

2.6

Over 0.5

91%

10/11

91%

10/11

91%

20/22

95%

Over 1.5

64%

7/11

82%

9/11

73%

16/22

75%

Over 2.5

55%

6/11

55%

6/11

55%

12/22

48%

Over 3.5

18%

2/11

27%

3/11

23%

5/22

26%

Over 4.5

9%

1/11

27%

3/11

18%

4/22

12%

Bet

BRI

MIL

Match

League

Yes

64%

7/11

64%

7/11

64%

14/22

56%

Yes and win

27%

3/11

27%

3/11

19%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

55%

6/11

45%

5/11

50%

11/22

43%

Yes and draw

9%

1/11

18%

2/11

14%

3/22

19%

Yes and loss

27%

3/11

18%

2/11

19%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/11

0%

0/11

0%

0/22

–

Bet

BRI

MIL

Match

League

Corners per match

8.8

9.3

9.0

9.8

Over 7.5

36%

4/11

73%

8/11

55%

12/22

69%

Over 8.5

27%

3/11

45%

5/11

36%

8/22

60%

Over 9.5

27%

3/11

45%

5/11

36%

8/22

50%

Over 10.5

27%

3/11

27%

3/11

27%

6/22

37%

Over 11.5

27%

3/11

9%

1/11

18%

4/22

27%

Over 12.5

27%

3/11

9%

1/11

18%

4/22

21%

Referee Scott Oldham: 3.7 cards and 21.8 fouls per game in 12 games this season

Bet

BRI

MIL

Match

League

Cards per match

5.2

4.4

4.8

4.3

Over 2.5

100%

11/11

91%

10/11

95%

21/22

78%

Over 3.5

100%

11/11

73%

8/11

86%

19/22

66%

Over 4.5

64%

7/11

55%

6/11

59%

13/22

45%

Over 5.5

36%

4/11

9%

1/11

23%

5/22

28%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Fabrizio Cavegn

7 starts · 0.7 per 90

29%

2/7

57%

4/7

0%

0/7

0%

0/7

Callum Paterson

10 starts · 0.4 per 90

0%

0/10

40%

4/10

0%

0/10

0%

0/10

Ellis Harrison

5 starts · 0.5 per 90

20%

1/5

40%

2/5

0%

0/5

0%

0/5

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.