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Full time

Sunday 4 January 2026 · 12:00 · HT 2-0 · Referee Andrew Miller

Milton Keynes Dons v Chesterfield: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Chesterfield's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 14 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 9 of 20, with 9.3 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.8 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Chesterfield, full match

33%

Possession

67%

0.84

Expected goals (xG)

1.29

10

Shots

10

3

Shots on target

3

4

Corners

6

14

Fouls

7

4

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

Offsides

1

Goals and cards

6'

Yellow card

Adam Lewis CHE

26'

Yellow card

Aaron Nemane MIL

29'

Goal

Callum Paterson MIL

44'

Goal

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy MIL

54'

Yellow card

Jack Sanders MIL

58'

Yellow card

Jon Mellish MIL

67'

Goal

Sam Curtis CHE

79'

Yellow card

Liam Kelly MIL

90+4'

Goal

Will Grigg CHE

90+4'

Yellow card

Will Grigg CHE

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

L

D

W

D

Chesterfield

6th in the table

D

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Chesterfield's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Chesterfield's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

70%

14/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

15/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

9/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

30%

6/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

45%

9/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

50%

10/20 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Chesterfield clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Chesterfield fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.9

League 2.6

Corners

9.3

League 9.8

Cards

3.8

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

2

15

16

22

32

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

7

Dan Crowley

24

Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

FORWARDS

13

Callum Paterson

29

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

SUBSTITUTES

27

Connal Trueman

34

Callum Tripp

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

46

9

10

17

Chesterfield

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Zac Hemming

DEFENDERS

3

26

29

44

MIDFIELDERS

8

Ryan Stirk

27

Ronan Darcy

36

Sammy Braybrooke

FORWARDS

7

Liam Mandeville

10

Lee Bonis

28

James Berry

SUBSTITUTES

23

Ryan Boot

20

Vontae Daley-Campbell

4

11

13

9

45

Referee: Andrew Miller

3 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

5.0

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.7

Red cards per game

0.33

Fouls per game

19.3

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.67

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Andrew Miller's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

CHE

Match

League

Goals per match

2.9

3.0

2.6

Over 0.5

96%

23/24

100%

24/24

98%

47/48

94%

Over 1.5

83%

20/24

79%

19/24

81%

39/48

75%

Over 2.5

58%

14/24

46%

11/24

52%

25/48

47%

Over 3.5

38%

9/24

38%

9/24

38%

18/48

28%

Over 4.5

17%

4/24

21%

5/24

19%

9/48

11%

Bet

MIL

CHE

Match

League

Yes

63%

15/24

67%

16/24

65%

31/48

55%

Yes and win

21%

5/24

17%

4/24

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

46%

11/24

46%

11/24

46%

22/48

41%

Yes and draw

25%

6/24

38%

9/24

31%

15/48

22%

Yes and loss

17%

4/24

13%

3/24

17%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/24

17%

4/24

8%

4/48

–

Bet

MIL

CHE

Match

League

Corners per match

8.8

10.0

9.4

9.7

Over 7.5

71%

17/24

67%

16/24

69%

33/48

72%

Over 8.5

50%

12/24

58%

14/24

54%

26/48

61%

Over 9.5

33%

8/24

54%

13/24

44%

21/48

51%

Over 10.5

25%

6/24

42%

10/24

33%

16/48

38%

Over 11.5

8%

2/24

25%

6/24

17%

8/48

25%

Over 12.5

8%

2/24

25%

6/24

17%

8/48

20%

Referee Andrew Miller: 5.0 cards and 19.3 fouls per game in 3 games this season

Bet

MIL

CHE

Match

League

Cards per match

3.9

4.8

4.3

4.1

Over 2.5

83%

20/24

79%

19/24

81%

39/48

79%

Over 3.5

63%

15/24

67%

16/24

65%

31/48

60%

Over 4.5

42%

10/24

63%

15/24

52%

25/48

41%

Over 5.5

4%

1/24

33%

8/24

19%

9/48

23%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Callum Paterson

20 starts · 0.4 per 90

5%

1/20

35%

7/20

0%

0/20

0%

0/20

James Berry

6 starts · 0.4 per 90

17%

1/6

33%

2/6

0%

0/6

0%

0/6

Lee Bonis

18 starts · 0.4 per 90

17%

3/18

28%

5/18

6%

1/18

0%

0/18

See all 19 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.