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Full time

Monday 29 December 2025 · 19:45 · HT 0-1 · Referee Lee Swabey

Milton Keynes Dons v Notts County: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Notts County's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 11 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 11 of 20, with 9.2 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.7 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Notts County, full match

55%

Possession

45%

1.94

Expected goals (xG)

0.47

10

Shots

13

3

Shots on target

3

1

Corners

5

15

Fouls

14

2

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

0

4

Offsides

1

Goals and cards

8'

Yellow card

Kane Thompson-Sommers MIL

44'

Goal

Tom Iorpenda NOT

54'

Yellow card

Alex Gilbey MIL

67'

Yellow card

Matthew Dennis NOT

70'

Goal

Callum Paterson MIL

82'

Yellow card

Tyrese Hall NOT

90'

Yellow card

Kelle Roos NOT

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

D

L

W

Notts County

5th in the table

L

D

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Notts County's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Notts County's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

55%

11/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

15/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

11/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

25%

5/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

45%

9/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

70%

14/20 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Notts County clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Notts County fail to score

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.7

League 2.6

Corners

9.2

League 9.8

Cards

4.7

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

15

16

21

22

32

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

FORWARDS

10

Aaron Collins

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

Connal Trueman

2

Gethin Jones

7

Dan Crowley

24

Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

9

Scott Hogan

17

Jonathan Leko

29

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Notts County

3-1-4-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Kelle Roos

DEFENDERS

4

5

17

25

28

MIDFIELDERS

8

Ollie Norburn

14

Tom Iorpenda

26

Tyrese Hall

FORWARDS

19

Matthew Dennis

29

Alassana Jatta

SUBSTITUTES

21

12

2

6

11

47

10

Referee: Lee Swabey

8 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.1

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.1

Red cards per game

0.13

Fouls per game

23.3

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.25

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Lee Swabey's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

NOT

Match

League

Goals per match

3.0

2.7

2.9

2.6

Over 0.5

95%

21/22

95%

21/22

95%

42/44

94%

Over 1.5

86%

19/22

77%

17/22

82%

36/44

75%

Over 2.5

64%

14/22

55%

12/22

59%

26/44

48%

Over 3.5

41%

9/22

32%

7/22

36%

16/44

29%

Over 4.5

18%

4/22

9%

2/22

14%

6/44

11%

Bet

MIL

NOT

Match

League

Yes

64%

14/22

59%

13/22

61%

27/44

56%

Yes and win

23%

5/22

23%

5/22

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

50%

11/22

50%

11/22

50%

22/44

42%

Yes and draw

23%

5/22

18%

4/22

20%

9/44

22%

Yes and loss

18%

4/22

18%

4/22

17%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/22

5%

1/22

2%

1/44

–

Bet

MIL

NOT

Match

League

Corners per match

8.9

8.8

9.7

Over 7.5

73%

16/22

64%

14/22

68%

30/44

71%

Over 8.5

50%

11/22

41%

9/22

45%

20/44

60%

Over 9.5

36%

8/22

36%

8/22

36%

16/44

50%

Over 10.5

27%

6/22

32%

7/22

30%

13/44

38%

Over 11.5

9%

2/22

23%

5/22

16%

7/44

26%

Over 12.5

9%

2/22

14%

3/22

11%

5/44

20%

Referee Lee Swabey: 3.1 cards and 23.3 fouls per game in 8 games this season

Bet

MIL

NOT

Match

League

Cards per match

3.9

4.5

4.2

4.1

Over 2.5

82%

18/22

77%

17/22

80%

35/44

80%

Over 3.5

64%

14/22

68%

15/22

66%

29/44

61%

Over 4.5

41%

9/22

55%

12/22

48%

21/44

41%

Over 5.5

5%

1/22

36%

8/22

20%

9/44

24%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Matthew Dennis

12 starts · 0.7 per 90

33%

4/12

58%

7/12

8%

1/12

0%

0/12

Alassana Jatta

16 starts · 0.5 per 90

13%

2/16

44%

7/16

6%

1/16

0%

0/16

Callum Paterson

18 starts · 0.3 per 90

6%

1/18

33%

6/18

0%

0/18

0%

0/18

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Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.