Bundesliga
Sunday 1 March 2026 · 18:30 · HT 1-1 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg · Referee Bastian Dankert

Hamburger SV v RB Leipzig: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and RB Leipzig's last 10 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 11 of 20, with 9.3 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.0 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Hamburger SV v RB Leipzig, full match
42%
Possession
58%
0.55
Expected goals (xG)
2.70
7
Shots
13
3
Shots on target
5
4
Corners
9
8
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
0

Goals and cards

22'
Goal
Fábio Vieira HAM
31'
Yellow card
Willi Orbán RBL
36'
Goal
Rômulo RBL
45+3'
Yellow card
Philip Otele HAM
50'
Goal
Yan Diomande RBL
62'
Penalty missed
Rômulo RBL
63'
Yellow card
Rômulo RBL
81'
Yellow card
Miro Muheim HAM
82'
Yellow card
Yussuf Poulsen HAM

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Hamburger SV's last 10 home games and RB Leipzig's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
60%
12/20 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
15/20 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
11/20 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
7/20 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
50%
10/20 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
60%
12/20 games · League 53%
Hamburger SV clean sheet
20%
2/10 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
50%
5/10 games · League 21%
Hamburger SV fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.8
League 3.2
Corners
9.3
League 9.8
Cards
4.0
League 3.9