Bundesliga
Saturday 21 February 2026 · 17:30 · HT 2-0 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Referee Benjamin Brand

RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund: stats, form and bet builder picks

In RB Leipzig's last 10 home games and Borussia Dortmund's last 10 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 13 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 13 of 20, with 9.8 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.6 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund, full match
55%
Possession
45%
1.81
Expected goals (xG)
1.39
14
Shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
6
Corners
2
11
Fouls
17
3
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
0
Offsides
4

Goals and cards

20'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner RBL
31'
Yellow card
Rômulo RBL
39'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner RBL
41'
Yellow card
Castello Lukeba RBL
45+2'
Yellow card
Ramy Bensebaini BOR
54'
Yellow card
Luca Reggiani BOR
69'
Yellow card
Julian Ryerson BOR
78'
Yellow card
Fábio Silva BOR
90+2'
Yellow card
David Raum RBL
90+5'
Goal
Fábio Silva BOR

Match probabilities

How often each happened in RB Leipzig's last 10 home games and Borussia Dortmund's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
65%
13/20 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
19/20 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
13/20 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
7/20 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
40%
8/20 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
50%
10/20 games · League 53%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 21%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet
40%
4/10 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig fail to score
0%
0/10 games · League 21%
Borussia Dortmund fail to score
0%
0/10 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.3
League 3.2
Corners
9.8
League 9.8
Cards
3.6
League 3.9