Bundesliga
Saturday 31 January 2026 · 14:30 · HT 1-1 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Referee Daniel Schlager
RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05: stats, form and bet builder picks
In RB Leipzig's last 9 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 9 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 11 of 18, over 2.5 goals in 13 of 18, with 9.8 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.2 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
RB Leipzig v 1. FSV Mainz 05, full match
70%
Possession
30%
1.43
Expected goals (xG)
2.33
15
Shots
11
4
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
4
4
Fouls
13
0
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
2
Goals and cards
38'
Yellow card
Stefan Bell FSV
40'
Goal
Conrad Harder RBL
45+3'
Yellow card
Stefan Posch FSV
45+6'
Penalty
Nadiem Amiri FSV
49'
Goal
Silas FSV
90+3'
Yellow card
Kacper Potulski FSV
90+6'
Yellow card
Nelson Weiper FSV
Match probabilities
How often each happened in RB Leipzig's last 9 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 9 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
61%
11/18 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
17/18 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
13/18 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
10/18 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
50%
9/18 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
50%
9/18 games · League 53%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
44%
4/9 games · League 21%
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet
0%
0/9 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig fail to score
0%
0/9 games · League 21%
1. FSV Mainz 05 fail to score
33%
3/9 games · League 21%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.5
League 3.2
Corners
9.8
League 9.8
Cards
4.2
League 3.9
