Bundesliga
Saturday 18 October 2025 · 14:30 · HT 1-0 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Referee Tobias Welz
RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV: stats, form and bet builder picks
In RB Leipzig's last 2 home games and Hamburger SV's last 3 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 1 of 5, over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, with 10.0 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.2 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
RB Leipzig v Hamburger SV, full match
47%
Possession
53%
1.06
Expected goals (xG)
1.53
10
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
3
3
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Offsides
1
Goals and cards
18'
Yellow card
Nicolás Capaldo HAM
43'
Yellow card
Christoph Baumgartner RBL
45'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner RBL
48'
Goal
Albert Sambi Lokonga HAM
50'
Goal
Christoph Baumgartner RBL
79'
Yellow card
Yan Diomande RBL
90+5'
Yellow card
Conrad Harder RBL
Match probabilities
How often each happened in RB Leipzig's last 2 home games and Hamburger SV's last 3 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
20%
1/5 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
3/5 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
2/5 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
2/5 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
40%
2/5 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
60%
3/5 games · League 53%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
50%
1/2 games · League 21%
Hamburger SV clean sheet
67%
2/3 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig fail to score
0%
0/2 games · League 21%
Hamburger SV fail to score
100%
3/3 games · League 21%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.2
League 3.2
Corners
10.0
League 9.8
Cards
4.2
League 3.9
