Championship
Saturday 11 April 2026 · 15:00 · HT 0-1 · St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton · Referee Andrew Kitchen

Southampton v Derby County: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Southampton's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 9 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 8 of 20, with 9.7 corners per match (league 10.3) and 4.0 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Southampton v Derby County, full match
62%
Possession
38%
1.73
Expected goals (xG)
0.91
15
Shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
6
Corners
2
8
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
1

Goals and cards

38'
Goal
Carlton Morris DER
53'
Yellow card
Dion Sanderson DER
55'
Yellow card
Oscar Fraulo DER
62'
Goal
Leo Scienza SOU
69'
Goal
Taylor Harwood-Bellis SOU
90+3'
Yellow card
Cyle Larin SOU

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Southampton's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
45%
9/20 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
13/20 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
8/20 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
5/20 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
60%
12/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
55%
11/20 games · League 53%
Southampton clean sheet
60%
6/10 games · League 25%
Derby County clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 25%
Southampton fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 25%
Derby County fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 25%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.5
League 2.6
Corners
9.7
League 10.3
Cards
4.0
League 3.9