Championship
1 - 0
Full time
Tuesday 10 March 2026 · 19:45 · HT 1-0 · The Den, London · Referee Matt Donohue

Millwall v Derby County: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Millwall's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 14 of 20, with 9.8 corners per match (league 10.3) and 3.5 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Millwall v Derby County, full match
50%
Possession
50%
1.45
Expected goals (xG)
1.25
15
Shots
14
4
Shots on target
1
6
Corners
2
7
Fouls
13
0
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
0
Offsides
3

Goals and cards

43'
Goal
Josh Coburn MIL
55'
Yellow card
Bobby Clark DER
58'
Yellow card
Dion Sanderson DER
61'
Yellow card
Carlton Morris DER

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Millwall's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
60%
12/20 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
17/20 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
14/20 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
6/20 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
50%
10/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
40%
8/20 games · League 53%
Millwall clean sheet
40%
4/10 games · League 25%
Derby County clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 25%
Millwall fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 25%
Derby County fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 25%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.0
League 2.6
Corners
9.8
League 10.3
Cards
3.5
League 3.9