Championship
Saturday 4 October 2025 · 15:00 · HT 1-1 · Pride Park Stadium, Derby · Referee Oliver Langford

Derby County v Southampton: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Derby County's last 4 home games and Southampton's last 4 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 7 of 8, over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8, with 8.5 corners per match (league 10.3) and 5.3 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Derby County v Southampton, full match
37%
Possession
63%
1.36
Expected goals (xG)
1.06
9
Shots
13
5
Shots on target
6
3
Corners
5
11
Fouls
9
4
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
2

Goals and cards

7'
Goal
Adam Armstrong SOU
15'
Yellow card
Ross Stewart SOU
22'
Yellow card
Craig Forsyth DER
32'
Yellow card
Lewis Travis DER
33'
Yellow card
Max Johnston DER
40'
Goal
Patrick Agyemang DER
62'
Yellow card
Andreas Weimann DER
85'
Yellow card
Flynn Downes SOU

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Derby County's last 4 home games and Southampton's last 4 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
88%
7/8 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
7/8 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
4/8 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
3/8 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
13%
1/8 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
75%
6/8 games · League 53%
Derby County clean sheet
0%
0/4 games · League 25%
Southampton clean sheet
0%
0/4 games · League 25%
Derby County fail to score
25%
1/4 games · League 25%
Southampton fail to score
0%
0/4 games · League 25%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.3
League 2.6
Corners
8.5
League 10.3
Cards
5.3
League 3.9