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Friday 26 December 2025 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Referee Ben Atkinson

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Swindon Town's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 14 of 20, with 9.3 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.2 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, full match

41%

Possession

59%

1.65

Expected goals (xG)

1.70

15

Shots

11

5

Shots on target

3

5

Corners

8

10

Fouls

8

1

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

3

Offsides

0

Goals and cards

17'

Goal

Aaron Nemane MIL

21'

Yellow card

Finley Munroe SWI

38'

Yellow card

Will Collar MIL

53'

Yellow card

Darren Oldaker SWI

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

D

L

W

D

Swindon Town

9th in the table

W

L

W

D

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Swindon Town's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Swindon Town's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

12/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

17/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

14/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

35%

7/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

50%

10/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

65%

13/20 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Swindon Town clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Swindon Town fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 2.6

Corners

9.3

League 9.8

Cards

4.2

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

2

15

16

21

32

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

18

Will Collar

FORWARDS

10

Aaron Collins

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

Connal Trueman

22

Jon Mellish

7

Dan Crowley

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

24

Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

17

Jonathan Leko

29

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Swindon Town

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Connor Ripley

DEFENDERS

5

17

22

26

MIDFIELDERS

7

Tom Nichols

18

Gavin Kilkenny

44

Darren Oldaker

FORWARDS

9

Paul Glatzel

31

Billy Bodin

33

Joel McGregor

SUBSTITUTES

12

3

6

19

11

20

Princewill Ehibhatiomhan

28

Ollie Palmer

Referee: Ben Atkinson

7 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

5.3

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

5.3

Red cards per game

0.29

Fouls per game

21.3

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.00

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Ben Atkinson's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

SWI

Match

League

Goals per match

3.1

2.9

3.0

2.7

Over 0.5

95%

20/21

95%

20/21

95%

40/42

95%

Over 1.5

90%

19/21

81%

17/21

86%

36/42

77%

Over 2.5

67%

14/21

67%

14/21

67%

28/42

49%

Over 3.5

43%

9/21

33%

7/21

38%

16/42

30%

Over 4.5

19%

4/21

10%

2/21

14%

6/42

12%

Bet

MIL

SWI

Match

League

Yes

67%

14/21

57%

12/21

62%

26/42

57%

Yes and win

24%

5/21

33%

7/21

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

52%

11/21

52%

11/21

52%

22/42

43%

Yes and draw

24%

5/21

14%

3/21

19%

8/42

23%

Yes and loss

19%

4/21

10%

2/21

17%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/21

10%

2/21

5%

2/42

–

Bet

MIL

SWI

Match

League

Corners per match

8.7

10.1

9.4

9.7

Over 7.5

71%

15/21

71%

15/21

71%

30/42

70%

Over 8.5

48%

10/21

67%

14/21

57%

24/42

60%

Over 9.5

33%

7/21

62%

13/21

48%

20/42

49%

Over 10.5

24%

5/21

43%

9/21

33%

14/42

38%

Over 11.5

5%

1/21

33%

7/21

19%

8/42

26%

Over 12.5

5%

1/21

24%

5/21

14%

6/42

20%

Referee Ben Atkinson: 5.3 cards and 21.3 fouls per game in 7 games this season

Bet

MIL

SWI

Match

League

Cards per match

4.0

4.1

Over 2.5

81%

17/21

90%

19/21

86%

36/42

80%

Over 3.5

67%

14/21

62%

13/21

64%

27/42

62%

Over 4.5

43%

9/21

24%

5/21

33%

14/42

42%

Over 5.5

5%

1/21

19%

4/21

12%

5/42

25%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Callum Paterson

17 starts · 0.4 per 90

6%

1/17

35%

6/17

0%

0/17

0%

0/17

Alex Gilbey

21 starts · 0.4 per 90

5%

1/21

29%

6/21

10%

2/21

0%

0/21

Billy Bodin

3 starts · 0.5 per 90

0%

0/3

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.