3 - 2

Full time

Tuesday 9 December 2025 · 19:45 · HT 2-2 · Meadow Lane, Nottingham · Referee Aaron Farmer

Notts County v Milton Keynes Dons: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Notts County's last 9 home games and Milton Keynes Dons's last 9 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 13 of 18, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 18, with 9.4 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.0 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Notts County v Milton Keynes Dons, full match

42%

Possession

58%

2.40

Expected goals (xG)

2.87

9

Shots

15

7

Shots on target

6

2

Corners

1

12

Fouls

16

2

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

0

1

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

3'

Goal

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing MIL

8'

Goal

Matthew Dennis NOT

13'

Penalty

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing MIL

26'

Goal

Alassana Jatta NOT

36'

Yellow card

Aaron Nemane MIL

45+4'

Yellow card

Lewis Macari NOT

59'

Yellow card

Luke Offord MIL

88'

Goal

Tom Iorpenda NOT

90+5'

Yellow card

Kane Thompson-Sommers MIL

90+8'

Yellow card

Matthew Dennis NOT

At a glance

Notts County

5th in the table

W

L

D

W

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

D

W

D

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Notts County's home games and Milton Keynes Dons's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Notts County's last 9 home games and Milton Keynes Dons's last 9 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

72%

13/18 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

94%

17/18 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

12/18 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

44%

8/18 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

33%

6/18 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

67%

12/18 games · League 55%

Notts County clean sheet

33%

3/9 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

22%

2/9 games · League 27%

Notts County fail to score

0%

0/9 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

0%

0/9 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.1

League 2.6

Corners

9.4

League 9.8

Cards

4.0

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Notts County

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Kelle Roos

DEFENDERS

4

5

25

28

47

MIDFIELDERS

8

Ollie Norburn

14

Tom Iorpenda

FORWARDS

11

Conor Grant

19

Matthew Dennis

29

Alassana Jatta

SUBSTITUTES

21

3

12

2

17

7

10

Milton Keynes Dons

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

15

16

21

22

23

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

FORWARDS

11

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

2

14

34

7

18

10

Referee: Aaron Farmer

6 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.0

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.0

Red cards per game

0.17

Fouls per game

22.3

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.33

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Aaron Farmer's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

NOT

MIL

Match

League

Goals per match

2.8

3.1

2.9

2.7

Over 0.5

100%

18/18

94%

17/18

97%

35/36

94%

Over 1.5

78%

14/18

89%

16/18

83%

30/36

76%

Over 2.5

61%

11/18

67%

12/18

64%

23/36

49%

Over 3.5

33%

6/18

39%

7/18

36%

13/36

29%

Over 4.5

6%

1/18

17%

3/18

11%

4/36

12%

Bet

NOT

MIL

Match

League

Yes

67%

12/18

67%

12/18

67%

24/36

57%

Yes and win

22%

4/18

28%

5/18

18%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

56%

10/18

56%

10/18

56%

20/36

44%

Yes and draw

22%

4/18

22%

4/18

22%

8/36

22%

Yes and loss

22%

4/18

17%

3/18

18%

Yes in both halves

6%

1/18

0%

0/18

3%

1/36

–

Bet

NOT

MIL

Match

League

Corners per match

9.2

9.1

9.7

Over 7.5

67%

12/18

78%

14/18

72%

26/36

70%

Over 8.5

44%

8/18

50%

9/18

47%

17/36

60%

Over 9.5

44%

8/18

33%

6/18

39%

14/36

50%

Over 10.5

39%

7/18

22%

4/18

31%

11/36

39%

Over 11.5

28%

5/18

6%

1/18

17%

6/36

27%

Over 12.5

17%

3/18

6%

1/18

11%

4/36

21%

Referee Aaron Farmer: 4.0 cards and 22.3 fouls per game in 6 games this season

Bet

NOT

MIL

Match

League

Cards per match

4.6

4.1

4.3

4.2

Over 2.5

72%

13/18

83%

15/18

78%

28/36

80%

Over 3.5

67%

12/18

72%

13/18

69%

25/36

64%

Over 4.5

56%

10/18

44%

8/18

50%

18/36

43%

Over 5.5

39%

7/18

6%

1/18

22%

8/36

27%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Matthew Dennis

8 starts · 0.8 per 90

38%

3/8

63%

5/8

13%

1/8

0%

0/8

Alassana Jatta

12 starts · 0.6 per 90

17%

2/12

42%

5/12

8%

1/12

0%

0/12

Callum Paterson

14 starts · 0.4 per 90

0%

0/14

36%

5/14

0%

0/14

0%

0/14

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.