Championship
Saturday 21 February 2026 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Vicarage Road, Watford · Referee David Webb
Watford v Derby County: stats, form and bet builder picks
In Watford's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 11 of 20, with 10.3 corners per match (league 10.3) and 4.0 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
Watford v Derby County, full match
45%
Possession
55%
1.29
Expected goals (xG)
0.65
18
Shots
5
8
Shots on target
1
2
Corners
2
13
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
0
Goals and cards
5'
Goal
Luca Kjerrumgaard WAT
23'
Yellow card
Matt Clarke DER
52'
Yellow card
Giorgi Chakvetadze WAT
55'
Yellow card
Callum Elder DER
83'
Yellow card
Mamadou Doumbia WAT
90'
Goal
Mamadou Doumbia WAT
Match probabilities
How often each happened in Watford's last 10 home games and Derby County's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
60%
12/20 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
18/20 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
11/20 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
15%
3/20 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
55%
11/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
45%
9/20 games · League 53%
Watford clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 25%
Derby County clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 25%
Watford fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 25%
Derby County fail to score
0%
0/10 games · League 25%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.7
League 2.6
Corners
10.3
League 10.3
Cards
4.0
League 3.9
