Championship
Saturday 22 November 2025 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Pride Park Stadium, Derby · Referee Gavin Ward
Derby County v Watford: stats, form and bet builder picks
In Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 9 of 15, over 2.5 goals in 4 of 15, with 8.5 corners per match (league 10.3) and 3.9 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
Derby County v Watford, full match
38%
Possession
62%
0.62
Expected goals (xG)
1.47
9
Shots
14
2
Shots on target
4
9
Corners
3
8
Fouls
15
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
1
Offsides
0
Goals and cards
36'
Goal
Dion Sanderson DER
39'
Yellow card
Dion Sanderson DER
54'
Goal
Sondre Langås DER
58'
Yellow card
Ben Brereton Díaz DER
61'
Goal
Luca Kjerrumgaard WAT
68'
Yellow card
Edo Kayembe WAT
85'
Penalty
Edo Kayembe WAT
88'
Goal
Edo Kayembe WAT
Match probabilities
How often each happened in Derby County's last 8 home games and Watford's last 7 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
60%
9/15 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
60%
9/15 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
4/15 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
3/15 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
36%
5/14 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
47%
7/15 games · League 53%
Derby County clean sheet
25%
2/8 games · League 25%
Watford clean sheet
0%
0/7 games · League 25%
Derby County fail to score
13%
1/8 games · League 25%
Watford fail to score
43%
3/7 games · League 25%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.3
League 2.6
Corners (14 games)
8.5
League 10.3
Cards
3.9
League 3.9