Championship
Saturday 14 March 2026 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · bet365 Stadium, Stoke · Referee Leigh Doughty
Stoke City v Watford: stats, form and bet builder picks
In Stoke City's last 10 home games and Watford's last 10 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 14 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 11.3 corners per match (league 10.3) and 4.7 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
Stoke City v Watford, full match
44%
Possession
56%
1.53
Expected goals (xG)
1.83
19
Shots
15
12
Shots on target
4
6
Corners
7
11
Fouls
13
4
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
0
Goals and cards
17'
Yellow card
Tomáš Rigo STO
28'
Goal
Million Manhoef STO
50'
Yellow card
Sorba Thomas STO
51'
Yellow card
Nampalys Mendy WAT
60'
Yellow card
Maksym Talovierov STO
72'
Yellow card
Tommy Simkin STO
77'
Goal
Million Manhoef STO
81'
Goal
Nestory Irankunda WAT
85'
Goal
Sam Gallagher STO
90+3'
Yellow card
Nestory Irankunda WAT
Match probabilities
How often each happened in Stoke City's last 10 home games and Watford's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
70%
14/20 games · League 57%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
15/20 games · League 76%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
12/20 games · League 51%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
4/20 games · League 25%
Over 9.5 corners
70%
14/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 cards
70%
14/20 games · League 53%
Stoke City clean sheet
20%
2/10 games · League 25%
Watford clean sheet
20%
2/10 games · League 25%
Stoke City fail to score
30%
3/10 games · League 25%
Watford fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 25%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.5
League 2.6
Corners
11.3
League 10.3
Cards
4.7
League 3.9
