Bundesliga
Sunday 5 October 2025 · 16:30 · HT 2-0 · Volksparkstadion, Hamburg · Referee Robert Hartmann

Hamburger SV v 1. FSV Mainz 05: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Hamburger SV's last 2 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 2 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 3 of 4, over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, with 11.3 corners per match (league 9.8) and 5.8 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Hamburger SV v 1. FSV Mainz 05, full match
35%
Possession
65%
1.91
Expected goals (xG)
0.67
15
Shots
11
9
Shots on target
4
1
Corners
4
14
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
3
Offsides
3

Goals and cards

6'
Goal
Albert Sambi Lokonga HAM
10'
Goal
Rayan Philippe HAM
17'
Yellow card
Daniel Elfadli HAM
42'
Yellow card
Jae-sung Lee FSV
45+3'
Yellow card
Dominik Kohr FSV
52'
Goal
Jean-Luc Dompé HAM
61'
Goal
Rayan Philippe HAM
65'
Yellow card
Nadiem Amiri FSV
65'
Yellow card
Nicolai Remberg HAM

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Hamburger SV's last 2 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 2 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
75%
3/4 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
4/4 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
2/4 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
1/4 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
75%
3/4 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
75%
3/4 games · League 53%
Hamburger SV clean sheet
0%
0/2 games · League 21%
1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet
0%
0/2 games · League 21%
Hamburger SV fail to score
50%
1/2 games · League 21%
1. FSV Mainz 05 fail to score
0%
0/2 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.0
League 3.2
Corners
11.3
League 9.8
Cards
5.8
League 3.9