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Saturday 9 May 2026 · 14:30 · HT 1-0 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Referee Benjamin Brand

RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli: stats, form and bet builder picks

In RB Leipzig's last 10 home games and FC St. Pauli's last 10 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 10.4 corners per match (league 9.8) and 2.9 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

RB Leipzig v FC St. Pauli, full match

70%

Possession

30%

1.37

Expected goals (xG)

0.79

13

Shots

8

5

Shots on target

3

Corners

5

Fouls

9

2

Yellow cards

0

Red cards

0

2

Offsides

0

Goals and cards

19'

Yellow card

Castello Lukeba RBL

45'

Goal

Xaver Schlager RBL

50'

Yellow card

Christoph Baumgartner RBL

54'

Goal

Willi Orbán RBL

86'

Goal

Abdoulie Ceesay FCS

At a glance

RB Leipzig

3rd in the table

L

W

FC St. Pauli

18th in the table

L

D

L

D

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From RB Leipzig's home games and FC St. Pauli's away games in the Bundesliga this season, before kick-off, with players from the lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in RB Leipzig's last 10 home games and FC St. Pauli's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

12/20 games · League 62%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

17/20 games · League 84%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

12/20 games · League 64%

Over 3.5 goals

40%

8/20 games · League 43%

Over 9.5 corners

60%

12/20 games · League 52%

Over 3.5 cards

30%

6/20 games · League 53%

RB Leipzig clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 21%

FC St. Pauli clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 21%

RB Leipzig fail to score

0%

0/10 games · League 21%

FC St. Pauli fail to score

40%

4/10 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 3.2

Corners

10.4

League 9.8

Cards

2.9

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

RB Leipzig

4-3-3

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

26

Maarten Vandevoordt

DEFENDERS

4

17

22

23

MIDFIELDERS

14

Christoph Baumgartner

20

Assan Ouédraogo

24

Xaver Schlager

FORWARDS

10

Brajan Gruda

40

Rômulo

49

Yan Diomande

SUBSTITUTES

1

Péter Gulácsi

5

El Chadaille Bitshiabu

16

35

39

7

13

9

11

FC St. Pauli

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

22

Nikola Vasilj

DEFENDERS

8

11

15

21

23

MIDFIELDERS

7

Jackson Irvine

16

Joel Chima Fujita

24

Connor Metcalfe

FORWARDS

19

Martijn Kaars

27

Andreas Hountondji

SUBSTITUTES

1

5

14

20

9

10

18

Referee: Benjamin Brand

15 games in the Bundesliga this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.6

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.6

Red cards per game

0.07

Fouls per game

19.3

League 20.7

Penalties per game

0.27

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Benjamin Brand's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

RBL

FCS

Match

League

Goals per match

3.3

2.6

2.9

3.2

Over 0.5

97%

31/32

91%

29/32

94%

60/64

96%

Over 1.5

84%

27/32

81%

26/32

83%

53/64

83%

Over 2.5

69%

22/32

53%

17/32

61%

39/64

63%

Over 3.5

47%

15/32

19%

6/32

33%

21/64

42%

Over 4.5

19%

6/32

9%

3/32

14%

9/64

21%

Bet

RBL

FCS

Match

League

Yes

59%

19/32

53%

17/32

56%

36/64

62%

Yes and win

28%

9/32

13%

4/32

20%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

53%

17/32

41%

13/32

47%

30/64

50%

Yes and draw

13%

4/32

16%

5/32

14%

9/64

21%

Yes and loss

19%

6/32

25%

8/32

20%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/32

0%

0/32

0%

0/64

–

Bet

RBL

FCS

Match

League

Corners per match

9.9

9.7

9.8

9.7

Over 7.5

75%

24/32

69%

22/32

72%

46/64

73%

Over 8.5

63%

20/32

69%

22/32

66%

42/64

61%

Over 9.5

56%

18/32

56%

18/32

56%

36/64

52%

Over 10.5

34%

11/32

44%

14/32

39%

25/64

38%

Over 11.5

28%

9/32

34%

11/32

31%

20/64

31%

Over 12.5

28%

9/32

22%

7/32

25%

16/64

23%

Referee Benjamin Brand: 3.6 cards and 19.3 fouls per game in 15 games this season

Bet

RBL

FCS

Match

League

Cards per match

3.4

3.9

Over 2.5

72%

23/32

59%

19/32

66%

42/64

73%

Over 3.5

47%

15/32

44%

14/32

45%

29/64

53%

Over 4.5

22%

7/32

22%

7/32

22%

14/64

37%

Over 5.5

6%

2/32

16%

5/32

11%

7/64

21%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Yan Diomande

26 starts · 0.5 per 90

22%

5/23

38%

10/26

4%

1/26

4%

1/26

Rômulo

26 starts · 0.4 per 90

4%

1/23

35%

9/26

0%

0/26

0%

0/26

Christoph Baumgartner

30 starts · 0.5 per 90

15%

4/27

30%

9/30

13%

4/30

0%

0/30

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.