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Full time

Sunday 3 May 2026 · 14:30 · HT 0-2 · Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg - St. Pauli · Referee Timo Gerach

FC St. Pauli v 1. FSV Mainz 05: stats, form and bet builder picks

In FC St. Pauli's last 10 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 10 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 13 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 9.0 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.9 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

FC St. Pauli v 1. FSV Mainz 05, full match

52%

Possession

48%

0.84

Expected goals (xG)

2.54

10

Shots

17

3

Shots on target

6

7

Corners

7

10

Fouls

8

3

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

0

1

Offsides

4

Goals and cards

6'

Goal

Phillip Tietz FSV

40'

Goal

Phillipp Mwene FSV

68'

Yellow card

Daniel Batz FSV

87'

Goal

Abdoulie Ceesay FCS

88'

Yellow card

Karol Mets FCS

90+1'

Yellow card

Connor Metcalfe FCS

90+4'

Yellow card

Abdoulie Ceesay FCS

At a glance

FC St. Pauli

18th in the table

L

D

L

D

L

1. FSV Mainz 05

10th in the table

L

D

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From FC St. Pauli's home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's away games in the Bundesliga this season, before kick-off, with players from the lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in FC St. Pauli's last 10 home games and 1. FSV Mainz 05's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

65%

13/20 games · League 62%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

17/20 games · League 84%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

12/20 games · League 64%

Over 3.5 goals

25%

5/20 games · League 43%

Over 9.5 corners

40%

8/20 games · League 52%

Over 3.5 cards

45%

9/20 games · League 53%

FC St. Pauli clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 21%

1. FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet

10%

1/10 games · League 21%

FC St. Pauli fail to score

40%

4/10 games · League 21%

1. FSV Mainz 05 fail to score

20%

2/10 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.6

League 3.2

Corners

9.0

League 9.8

Cards

3.9

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

22

Nikola Vasilj

DEFENDERS

3

5

11

15

21

MIDFIELDERS

7

Jackson Irvine

8

Eric Smith

FORWARDS

10

Danel Sinani

16

Joel Chima Fujita

27

Andreas Hountondji

SUBSTITUTES

1

4

25

20

23

24

9

18

19

1. FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

33

Daniel Batz

DEFENDERS

2

4

21

30

48

MIDFIELDERS

6

Kaishu Sano

8

Paul Nebel

10

Nadiem Amiri

FORWARDS

20

Phillip Tietz

23

Sheraldo Becker

SUBSTITUTES

27

16

19

22

15

24

31

11

44

Referee: Timo Gerach

9 games in the Bundesliga this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.6

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.4

Red cards per game

0.22

Fouls per game

20.3

League 20.7

Penalties per game

0.56

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Timo Gerach's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

FCS

FSV

Match

League

Goals per match

2.5

2.8

2.7

3.2

Over 0.5

90%

28/31

97%

30/31

94%

58/62

96%

Over 1.5

81%

25/31

81%

25/31

81%

50/62

84%

Over 2.5

52%

16/31

52%

16/31

52%

32/62

64%

Over 3.5

19%

6/31

32%

10/31

26%

16/62

42%

Over 4.5

10%

3/31

10%

3/31

10%

6/62

21%

Bet

FCS

FSV

Match

League

Yes

52%

16/31

61%

19/31

56%

35/62

61%

Yes and win

13%

4/31

19%

6/31

20%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

39%

12/31

42%

13/31

40%

25/62

50%

Yes and draw

16%

5/31

29%

9/31

23%

14/62

21%

Yes and loss

23%

7/31

13%

4/31

20%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/31

6%

2/31

3%

2/62

–

Bet

FCS

FSV

Match

League

Corners per match

9.6

9.4

9.5

9.8

Over 7.5

68%

21/31

74%

23/31

71%

44/62

73%

Over 8.5

68%

21/31

58%

18/31

63%

39/62

61%

Over 9.5

55%

17/31

48%

15/31

52%

32/62

52%

Over 10.5

42%

13/31

39%

12/31

40%

25/62

38%

Over 11.5

32%

10/31

29%

9/31

31%

19/62

31%

Over 12.5

19%

6/31

19%

6/31

19%

12/62

23%

Referee Timo Gerach: 4.6 cards and 20.3 fouls per game in 9 games this season

Bet

FCS

FSV

Match

League

Cards per match

3.4

4.3

3.8

3.9

Over 2.5

58%

18/31

87%

27/31

73%

45/62

73%

Over 3.5

42%

13/31

61%

19/31

52%

32/62

53%

Over 4.5

23%

7/31

39%

12/31

31%

19/62

37%

Over 5.5

16%

5/31

19%

6/31

18%

11/62

21%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Nadiem Amiri

21 starts · 0.5 per 90

21%

4/19

43%

9/21

5%

1/21

0%

0/21

Andreas Hountondji

12 starts · 0.5 per 90

8%

1/12

33%

4/12

0%

0/12

0%

0/12

Sheraldo Becker

8 starts · 0.3 per 90

13%

1/8

25%

2/8

0%

0/8

0%

0/8

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.