Bundesliga
Saturday 17 January 2026 · 17:30 · HT 1-0 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · Referee Sascha Stegemann

RB Leipzig v FC Bayern München: stats, form and bet builder picks

In RB Leipzig's last 8 home games and FC Bayern München's last 8 away games in the Bundesliga before kick-off, both teams scored in 8 of 16, over 2.5 goals in 13 of 16, with 9.6 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.7 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

RB Leipzig v FC Bayern München, full match
42%
Possession
58%
2.45
Expected goals (xG)
4.56
17
Shots
19
4
Shots on target
12
5
Corners
9
7
Fouls
6
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Offsides
2

Goals and cards

20'
Goal
Rômulo RBL
29'
Yellow card
Nicolas Seiwald RBL
50'
Goal
Serge Gnabry FCB
67'
Goal
Harry Kane FCB
82'
Goal
Jonathan Tah FCB
85'
Goal
Aleksandar Pavlović FCB
88'
Goal
Michael Olise FCB

Match probabilities

How often each happened in RB Leipzig's last 8 home games and FC Bayern München's last 8 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
50%
8/16 games · League 62%
Over 1.5 goals
100%
16/16 games · League 84%
Over 2.5 goals
81%
13/16 games · League 64%
Over 3.5 goals
63%
10/16 games · League 43%
Over 9.5 corners
50%
8/16 games · League 52%
Over 3.5 cards
44%
7/16 games · League 53%
RB Leipzig clean sheet
50%
4/8 games · League 21%
FC Bayern München clean sheet
50%
4/8 games · League 21%
RB Leipzig fail to score
0%
0/8 games · League 21%
FC Bayern München fail to score
0%
0/8 games · League 21%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
3.8
League 3.2
Corners
9.6
League 9.8
Cards
3.7
League 3.9