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Saturday 14 February 2026 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Referee Harrison Blair

Milton Keynes Dons v Newport County: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Newport County's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 11 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 8.3 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.8 cards (league 3.9).

Based on Milton Keynes Dons' 30 League Two games and Newport County's 30 this season.

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Newport County, full match

53%

Possession

47%

2.19

Expected goals (xG)

0.78

20

Shots

3

9

Shots on target

0

6

Corners

2

7

Fouls

10

1

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

3

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

1'

Goal

Aaron Collins MIL

22'

Yellow card

Michael Spellman NEW

63'

Penalty missed

Callum Paterson MIL

79'

Yellow card

Sven Sprangler NEW

90+10'

Yellow card

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy MIL

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

D

W

Newport County

20th in the table

L

D

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Newport County's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 10 home games and Newport County's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

55%

11/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

16/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

12/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

35%

7/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

35%

7/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

50%

10/20 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Newport County clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

0%

0/10 games · League 27%

Newport County fail to score

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 2.6

Corners

8.3

League 9.8

Cards

3.8

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

3-1-4-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

2

15

21

22

25

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

26

Ben Wiles

FORWARDS

10

Aaron Collins

13

Callum Paterson

SUBSTITUTES

27

7

14

16

28

9

29

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Newport County

4-1-4-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

28

Jordan Wright

DEFENDERS

3

Anthony Driscoll-Glennon

4

Matthew Baker

6

Ciaran Brennan

12

Joe Thomas

MIDFIELDERS

5

7

19

21

40

FORWARDS

16

James Crole

SUBSTITUTES

13

2

23

10

20

22

24

Referee: Harrison Blair

4 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

2.8

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

2.8

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

20.5

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.25

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Harrison Blair's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

NEW

Match

League

Goals per match

3.1

2.8

3.0

2.6

Over 0.5

97%

29/30

93%

28/30

95%

57/60

94%

Over 1.5

83%

25/30

80%

24/30

82%

49/60

74%

Over 2.5

60%

18/30

57%

17/30

58%

35/60

48%

Over 3.5

43%

13/30

30%

9/30

37%

22/60

27%

Over 4.5

20%

6/30

20%

6/30

20%

12/60

11%

Bet

MIL

NEW

Match

League

Yes

63%

19/30

53%

16/30

58%

35/60

53%

Yes and win

23%

7/30

7%

2/30

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

50%

15/30

47%

14/30

48%

29/60

42%

Yes and draw

27%

8/30

13%

4/30

20%

12/60

19%

Yes and loss

13%

4/30

33%

10/30

17%

Yes in both halves

3%

1/30

7%

2/30

5%

3/60

–

Bet

MIL

NEW

Match

League

Corners per match

8.8

8.7

8.8

9.8

Over 7.5

67%

20/30

63%

19/30

65%

39/60

73%

Over 8.5

50%

15/30

53%

16/30

52%

31/60

64%

Over 9.5

37%

11/30

37%

11/30

37%

22/60

53%

Over 10.5

27%

8/30

20%

6/30

23%

14/60

38%

Over 11.5

13%

4/30

13%

4/30

13%

8/60

26%

Over 12.5

13%

4/30

10%

3/30

12%

7/60

20%

Referee Harrison Blair: 2.8 cards and 20.5 fouls per game in 4 games this season

Bet

MIL

NEW

Match

League

Cards per match

4.1

3.9

4.0

4.1

Over 2.5

87%

26/30

73%

22/30

80%

48/60

79%

Over 3.5

67%

20/30

50%

15/30

58%

35/60

59%

Over 4.5

47%

14/30

40%

12/30

43%

26/60

40%

Over 5.5

10%

3/30

20%

6/30

15%

9/60

23%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Callum Paterson

26 starts · 0.6 per 90

19%

5/26

46%

12/26

4%

1/26

4%

1/26

See all 21 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.