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Saturday 21 February 2026 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Referee Sebastian Stockbridge

Luton Town v Burton Albion: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Luton Town's last 10 home games and Burton Albion's last 10 away games in League One before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 14 of 20, with 10.6 corners per match (league 10.0) and 3.3 cards (league 3.9).

Based on Luton Town's 32 League One games and Burton Albion's 31 this season.

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Luton Town v Burton Albion, full match

55%

Possession

45%

0.59

Expected goals (xG)

0.53

5

Shots

7

2

Shots on target

1

Corners

6

15

Fouls

18

3

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

0

1

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

13'

Goal

Nahki Wells LUT

29'

Yellow card

George Evans BUR

36'

Yellow card

Kasey Palmer LUT

74'

Yellow card

Kyran Lofthouse BUR

82'

Yellow card

Josh Keeley LUT

89'

Yellow card

Davy van den Berg LUT

89'

Yellow card

Andy Cannon BUR

90+2'

Goal

Fábio Tavares BUR

At a glance

Luton Town

7th in the table

L

W

L

Burton Albion

17th in the table

W

D

L

D

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Luton Town's home games and Burton Albion's away games in League One this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Luton Town's last 10 home games and Burton Albion's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

12/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

16/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

14/20 games · League 51%

Over 3.5 goals

30%

6/20 games · League 28%

Over 9.5 corners

55%

11/20 games · League 52%

Over 3.5 cards

40%

8/20 games · League 56%

Luton Town clean sheet

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Burton Albion clean sheet

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Luton Town fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Burton Albion fail to score

30%

3/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.8

League 2.6

Corners

10.6

League 10.0

Cards

3.3

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Luton Town

4-1-4-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

24

Josh Keeley

DEFENDERS

3

5

25

38

MIDFIELDERS

14

18

23

30

54

FORWARDS

21

Nahki Wells

SUBSTITUTES

1

15

17

6

27

32

22

Burton Albion

3-4-1-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

24

Brad Collins

DEFENDERS

2

3

6

15

16

MIDFIELDERS

4

Kgagelo Chauke

7

John Joshua Mckiernan

12

George Evans

FORWARDS

9

Jake Beesley

10

Tyrese Shade

SUBSTITUTES

27

18

42

11

22

29

41

Referee: Sebastian Stockbridge

20 games in League One this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

5.0

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.8

Red cards per game

0.20

Fouls per game

25.1

League 22.9

Penalties per game

0.25

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Sebastian Stockbridge's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

LUT

BUR

Match

League

Goals per match

2.5

2.6

Over 0.5

97%

31/32

90%

28/31

94%

59/63

94%

Over 1.5

66%

21/32

68%

21/31

67%

42/63

72%

Over 2.5

50%

16/32

58%

18/31

54%

34/63

50%

Over 3.5

28%

9/32

29%

9/31

29%

18/63

26%

Over 4.5

9%

3/32

6%

2/31

8%

5/63

11%

Bet

LUT

BUR

Match

League

Yes

41%

13/32

45%

14/31

43%

27/63

51%

Yes and win

9%

3/32

13%

4/31

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

34%

11/32

42%

13/31

38%

24/63

40%

Yes and draw

16%

5/32

16%

5/31

16%

10/63

18%

Yes and loss

16%

5/32

16%

5/31

17%

Yes in both halves

6%

2/32

0%

0/31

3%

2/63

–

Bet

LUT

BUR

Match

League

Corners per match

10.3

11.1

10.7

9.9

Over 7.5

72%

23/32

90%

28/31

81%

51/63

74%

Over 8.5

66%

21/32

71%

22/31

68%

43/63

63%

Over 9.5

56%

18/32

58%

18/31

57%

36/63

50%

Over 10.5

44%

14/32

55%

17/31

49%

31/63

39%

Over 11.5

28%

9/32

35%

11/31

32%

20/63

31%

Over 12.5

22%

7/32

19%

6/31

21%

13/63

20%

Referee Sebastian Stockbridge: 5.0 cards and 25.1 fouls per game in 20 games this season

Bet

LUT

BUR

Match

League

Cards per match

3.5

3.6

3.5

3.9

Over 2.5

75%

24/32

71%

22/31

73%

46/63

76%

Over 3.5

50%

16/32

48%

15/31

49%

31/63

58%

Over 4.5

22%

7/32

35%

11/31

29%

18/63

36%

Over 5.5

16%

5/32

19%

6/31

17%

11/63

21%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Jordan Clark

22 starts · 0.4 per 90

5%

1/22

36%

8/22

0%

0/22

0%

0/22

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.