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Full time

Saturday 14 February 2026 · 15:00 · HT 3-1 · Referee Oliver Yates

Cardiff City v Luton Town: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Cardiff City's last 10 home games and Luton Town's last 10 away games in League One before kick-off, both teams scored in 9 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 11 of 20, with 10.2 corners per match (league 10.0) and 3.5 cards (league 3.9).

Based on Cardiff City's 30 League One games and Luton Town's 30 this season.

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Cardiff City v Luton Town, full match

60%

Possession

40%

1.52

Expected goals (xG)

0.81

18

Shots

3

7

Shots on target

1

7

Corners

3

10

Fouls

17

3

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

2

Offsides

3

Goals and cards

11'

Goal

David Turnbull CAR

13'

Yellow card

David Turnbull CAR

18'

Yellow card

Joel Bagan CAR

20'

Penalty

Jordan Clark LUT

37'

Goal

Joel Colwill CAR

42'

Goal

Perry Ng CAR

45+1'

Yellow card

Nigel Lonwijk LUT

64'

Yellow card

Nathan Trott CAR

76'

Yellow card

Kasey Palmer LUT

At a glance

Cardiff City

2nd in the table

W

D

W

D

W

Luton Town

7th in the table

W

L

D

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Cardiff City's home games and Luton Town's away games in League One this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Cardiff City's last 10 home games and Luton Town's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

45%

9/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

70%

14/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

11/20 games · League 51%

Over 3.5 goals

35%

7/20 games · League 28%

Over 9.5 corners

55%

11/20 games · League 52%

Over 3.5 cards

55%

11/20 games · League 56%

Cardiff City clean sheet

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Luton Town clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 27%

Cardiff City fail to score

0%

0/10 games · League 27%

Luton Town fail to score

50%

5/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 2.6

Corners

10.2

League 10.0

Cards

3.5

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Cardiff City

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

13

Nathan Trott

DEFENDERS

3

4

12

38

MIDFIELDERS

14

David Turnbull

18

Alex Robertson

27

Joel Colwill

FORWARDS

8

Omari Kellyman

11

Ollie Tanner

16

Chris Willock

SUBSTITUTES

30

2

44

48

10

45

47

Luton Town

4-1-4-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

24

Josh Keeley

DEFENDERS

5

15

17

38

MIDFIELDERS

18

25

27

30

54

FORWARDS

22

Devante Cole

SUBSTITUTES

1

3

6

23

12

14

21

Referee: Oliver Yates

19 games in League One this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

5.3

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

5.2

Red cards per game

0.16

Fouls per game

23.6

League 22.9

Penalties per game

0.53

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Oliver Yates's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

CAR

LUT

Match

League

Goals per match

2.8

2.5

2.6

Over 0.5

97%

29/30

97%

29/30

97%

58/60

94%

Over 1.5

73%

22/30

67%

20/30

70%

42/60

72%

Over 2.5

57%

17/30

50%

15/30

53%

32/60

50%

Over 3.5

30%

9/30

27%

8/30

28%

17/60

26%

Over 4.5

10%

3/30

10%

3/30

10%

6/60

11%

Bet

CAR

LUT

Match

League

Yes

53%

16/30

40%

12/30

47%

28/60

51%

Yes and win

27%

8/30

10%

3/30

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

40%

12/30

33%

10/30

37%

22/60

39%

Yes and draw

17%

5/30

17%

5/30

17%

10/60

18%

Yes and loss

10%

3/30

13%

4/30

17%

Yes in both halves

7%

2/30

7%

2/30

7%

4/60

–

Bet

CAR

LUT

Match

League

Corners per match

9.6

10.3

9.9

Over 7.5

73%

22/30

70%

21/30

72%

43/60

75%

Over 8.5

67%

20/30

63%

19/30

65%

39/60

63%

Over 9.5

53%

16/30

53%

16/30

53%

32/60

50%

Over 10.5

30%

9/30

43%

13/30

37%

22/60

39%

Over 11.5

23%

7/30

30%

9/30

27%

16/60

31%

Over 12.5

17%

5/30

23%

7/30

20%

12/60

20%

Referee Oliver Yates: 5.3 cards and 23.6 fouls per game in 19 games this season

Bet

CAR

LUT

Match

League

Cards per match

3.7

3.3

3.5

3.9

Over 2.5

83%

25/30

73%

22/30

78%

47/60

76%

Over 3.5

57%

17/30

47%

14/30

52%

31/60

58%

Over 4.5

23%

7/30

17%

5/30

20%

12/60

35%

Over 5.5

10%

3/30

13%

4/30

12%

7/60

20%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Jake Richards

7 starts · 0.6 per 90

43%

3/7

43%

3/7

0%

0/7

0%

0/7

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.