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Full time

Saturday 4 October 2025 · 12:30 · HT 1-0 · Referee Darren Drysdale

Milton Keynes Dons v Gillingham: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Milton Keynes Dons's last 5 home games and Gillingham's last 5 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 6 of 10, over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10, with 8.5 corners per match (league 9.8) and 5.1 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Milton Keynes Dons v Gillingham, full match

46%

Possession

54%

1.46

Expected goals (xG)

2.69

13

Shots

14

4

Shots on target

4

3

Corners

4

20

Fouls

11

2

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

0

1

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

6'

Own goal

Sam Gale MIL

34'

Yellow card

Andy Smith GIL

57'

Goal

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing MIL

60'

Yellow card

Remeao Hutton GIL

63'

Yellow card

Laurence Maguire MIL

63'

Yellow card

Josh Andrews GIL

69'

Goal

Callum Paterson MIL

76'

Goal

Sebastian Palmer-Houlden GIL

90+3'

Yellow card

Jonathan Leko MIL

90+4'

Goal

Jonathan Williams GIL

At a glance

Milton Keynes Dons

2nd in the table

W

L

D

L

Gillingham

17th in the table

L

W

D

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Milton Keynes Dons's home games and Gillingham's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Milton Keynes Dons's last 5 home games and Gillingham's last 5 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

6/10 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

70%

7/10 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

5/10 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

40%

4/10 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

90%

9/10 games · League 55%

Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet

40%

2/5 games · League 27%

Gillingham clean sheet

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Milton Keynes Dons fail to score

40%

2/5 games · League 27%

Gillingham fail to score

0%

0/5 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.7

League 2.6

Corners

8.5

League 9.8

Cards

5.1

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Milton Keynes Dons

4-3-3

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Craig McGillivray

DEFENDERS

15

21

22

23

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Kelly

8

Alex Gilbey

18

Will Collar

FORWARDS

11

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing

13

Callum Paterson

16

Aaron Nemane

SUBSTITUTES

27

4

34

7

20

Kane Thompson-Sommers

9

Scott Hogan

17

Jonathan Leko

Gillingham

3-4-1-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Glenn Morris

DEFENDERS

2

5

11

22

30

MIDFIELDERS

6

Ethan Coleman

10

Jonathan Williams

14

Robbie McKenzie

FORWARDS

9

Josh Andrews

20

Elliott Nevitt

SUBSTITUTES

25

3

15

32

27

12

Sebastian Palmer-Houlden

19

Sam Vokes

Referee: Darren Drysdale

10 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.6

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.5

Red cards per game

0.20

Fouls per game

23.7

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.30

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Darren Drysdale's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

MIL

GIL

Match

League

Goals per match

2.6

2.2

2.4

2.6

Over 0.5

90%

9/10

100%

10/10

95%

19/20

96%

Over 1.5

80%

8/10

50%

5/10

65%

13/20

74%

Over 2.5

50%

5/10

30%

3/10

40%

8/20

47%

Over 3.5

20%

2/10

30%

3/10

25%

5/20

24%

Over 4.5

20%

2/10

10%

1/10

15%

3/20

11%

Bet

MIL

GIL

Match

League

Yes

60%

6/10

50%

5/10

55%

11/20

56%

Yes and win

20%

2/10

20%

2/10

18%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

40%

4/10

30%

3/10

35%

7/20

41%

Yes and draw

20%

2/10

30%

3/10

25%

5/20

20%

Yes and loss

20%

2/10

0%

0/10

18%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/10

0%

0/10

0%

0/20

–

Bet

MIL

GIL

Match

League

Corners per match

9.5

7.9

8.7

9.9

Over 7.5

80%

8/10

40%

4/10

60%

12/20

70%

Over 8.5

50%

5/10

40%

4/10

45%

9/20

60%

Over 9.5

50%

5/10

30%

3/10

40%

8/20

50%

Over 10.5

30%

3/10

20%

2/10

25%

5/20

39%

Over 11.5

10%

1/10

20%

2/10

15%

3/20

29%

Over 12.5

10%

1/10

10%

1/10

10%

2/20

24%

Referee Darren Drysdale: 3.6 cards and 23.7 fouls per game in 10 games this season

Bet

MIL

GIL

Match

League

Cards per match

4.3

5.0

4.7

4.2

Over 2.5

90%

9/10

90%

9/10

90%

18/20

78%

Over 3.5

70%

7/10

90%

9/10

80%

16/20

65%

Over 4.5

50%

5/10

60%

6/10

55%

11/20

44%

Over 5.5

10%

1/10

40%

4/10

25%

5/20

27%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Callum Paterson

9 starts · 0.3 per 90

0%

0/9

33%

3/9

0%

0/9

0%

0/9

Alex Gilbey

10 starts · 0.3 per 90

10%

1/10

30%

3/10

0%

0/10

0%

0/10

Josh Andrews

8 starts · 0.3 per 90

13%

1/8

25%

2/8

0%

0/8

0%

0/8

See all 21 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.