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Saturday 18 October 2025 · 15:00 · HT 1-0 · Referee Alan Young

Accrington Stanley v Swindon Town: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Accrington Stanley's last 5 home games and Swindon Town's last 6 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 7 of 11, over 2.5 goals in 6 of 11, with 8.5 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.9 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Accrington Stanley v Swindon Town, full match

42%

Possession

58%

2.22

Expected goals (xG)

1.08

19

Shots

8

6

Shots on target

3

Corners

5

9

Fouls

8

0

Yellow cards

3

0

Red cards

1

0

Offsides

1

Goals and cards

6'

Yellow card

Jamie Knight-Lebel SWI

8'

Goal

Paddy Madden ACC

37'

Red card

Ollie Clarke SWI

38'

Yellow card

Connor Ripley SWI

45+1'

Yellow card

Gavin Kilkenny SWI

72'

Goal

Paddy Madden ACC

79'

Goal

Isaac Heath ACC

90+3'

Goal

Paddy Madden ACC

At a glance

Accrington Stanley

16th in the table

L

W

Swindon Town

9th in the table

W

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Accrington Stanley's home games and Swindon Town's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Accrington Stanley's last 5 home games and Swindon Town's last 6 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

64%

7/11 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

73%

8/11 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

6/11 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

27%

3/11 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

36%

4/11 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

55%

6/11 games · League 55%

Accrington Stanley clean sheet

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Swindon Town clean sheet

33%

2/6 games · League 27%

Accrington Stanley fail to score

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Swindon Town fail to score

0%

0/6 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.6

League 2.6

Corners

8.5

League 9.8

Cards

3.9

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Accrington Stanley

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

13

Oliver Wright

DEFENDERS

5

14

17

20

30

MIDFIELDERS

6

Liam Coyle

28

Seamus Conneely

FORWARDS

8

Paddy Madden

10

Alex Henderson

11

Isaac Sinclair

SUBSTITUTES

1

3

38

4

16

19

39

Swindon Town

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Connor Ripley

DEFENDERS

8

17

19

22

26

MIDFIELDERS

7

Tom Nichols

18

Gavin Kilkenny

FORWARDS

9

Paul Glatzel

23

Aaron Drinan

28

Ollie Palmer

SUBSTITUTES

12

5

16

14

44

20

Princewill Ehibhatiomhan

31

Billy Bodin

Referee: Alan Young

9 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.2

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.1

Red cards per game

0.11

Fouls per game

22.7

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.22

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Alan Young's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

ACC

SWI

Match

League

Goals per match

1.9

3.2

2.5

2.6

Over 0.5

91%

10/11

100%

11/11

95%

21/22

95%

Over 1.5

64%

7/11

91%

10/11

77%

17/22

74%

Over 2.5

27%

3/11

73%

8/11

50%

11/22

47%

Over 3.5

9%

1/11

36%

4/11

23%

5/22

25%

Over 4.5

0%

0/11

18%

2/11

9%

2/22

12%

Bet

ACC

SWI

Match

League

Yes

45%

5/11

64%

7/11

55%

12/22

55%

Yes and win

9%

1/11

45%

5/11

18%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

27%

3/11

64%

7/11

45%

10/22

41%

Yes and draw

18%

2/11

0%

0/11

9%

2/22

19%

Yes and loss

18%

2/11

18%

2/11

18%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/11

9%

1/11

5%

1/22

–

Bet

ACC

SWI

Match

League

Corners per match

8.0

9.9

9.0

9.7

Over 7.5

64%

7/11

64%

7/11

64%

14/22

69%

Over 8.5

36%

4/11

64%

7/11

50%

11/22

60%

Over 9.5

27%

3/11

55%

6/11

41%

9/22

49%

Over 10.5

9%

1/11

36%

4/11

23%

5/22

38%

Over 11.5

0%

0/11

27%

3/11

14%

3/22

26%

Over 12.5

0%

0/11

27%

3/11

14%

3/22

21%

Referee Alan Young: 4.2 cards and 22.7 fouls per game in 9 games this season

Bet

ACC

SWI

Match

League

Cards per match

4.0

3.9

4.0

4.2

Over 2.5

73%

8/11

91%

10/11

82%

18/22

77%

Over 3.5

64%

7/11

45%

5/11

55%

12/22

64%

Over 4.5

36%

4/11

18%

2/11

27%

6/22

44%

Over 5.5

27%

3/11

9%

1/11

18%

4/22

27%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Aaron Drinan

10 starts · 0.9 per 90

20%

2/10

70%

7/10

10%

1/10

0%

0/10

Ollie Palmer

3 starts · 0.8 per 90

67%

2/3

67%

2/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

Paul Glatzel

6 starts · 0.4 per 90

0%

0/6

33%

2/6

0%

0/6

0%

0/6

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.