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Saturday 4 October 2025 · 12:30 · HT 0-1 · Referee Declan Bourne

Newport County v Swindon Town: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Newport County's last 5 home games and Swindon Town's last 5 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 8 of 10, over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10, with 8.5 corners per match (league 9.8) and 3.5 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Newport County v Swindon Town, full match

43%

Possession

57%

0.52

Expected goals (xG)

1.05

9

Shots

11

1

Shots on target

3

5

Corners

6

14

Fouls

15

4

Yellow cards

5

0

Red cards

0

Offsides

1

Goals and cards

9'

Yellow card

Lee Jenkins NEW

10'

Goal

Ollie Palmer SWI

17'

Yellow card

Kai Whitmore NEW

32'

Yellow card

Cameron Evans NEW

53'

Yellow card

Tom Nichols SWI

59'

Yellow card

Finley Munroe SWI

73'

Yellow card

Paul Glatzel SWI

90+2'

Yellow card

Adam Murphy SWI

90+6'

Yellow card

Michael Spellman NEW

90+7'

Yellow card

Daniel Butterworth SWI

At a glance

Newport County

20th in the table

L

D

L

Swindon Town

9th in the table

W

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Newport County's home games and Swindon Town's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Newport County's last 5 home games and Swindon Town's last 5 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

80%

8/10 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

90%

9/10 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

80%

8/10 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

40%

4/10 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

50%

5/10 games · League 55%

Newport County clean sheet

0%

0/5 games · League 27%

Swindon Town clean sheet

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Newport County fail to score

20%

1/5 games · League 27%

Swindon Town fail to score

0%

0/5 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.3

League 2.6

Corners

8.5

League 9.8

Cards

3.5

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Newport County

5-3-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Nikola Tzanev

DEFENDERS

4

5

15

17

22

MIDFIELDERS

2

Cameron Evans

14

Kai Whitmore

44

Sammy Braybrooke

FORWARDS

9

Courtney Baker-Richardson

24

Nathaniel Opoku

SUBSTITUTES

28

32

11

12

7

21

23

Swindon Town

3-4-2-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Connor Ripley

DEFENDERS

8

17

19

22

26

MIDFIELDERS

7

Tom Nichols

18

Gavin Kilkenny

FORWARDS

9

Paul Glatzel

28

Ollie Palmer

44

Darren Oldaker

SUBSTITUTES

12

5

16

21

14

20

Princewill Ehibhatiomhan

31

Billy Bodin

Referee: Declan Bourne

9 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.6

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.4

Red cards per game

0.22

Fouls per game

23.0

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.89

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Declan Bourne's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

NEW

SWI

Match

League

Goals per match

3.0

3.4

3.2

2.6

Over 0.5

100%

10/10

100%

10/10

100%

20/20

96%

Over 1.5

90%

9/10

100%

10/10

95%

19/20

74%

Over 2.5

60%

6/10

80%

8/10

70%

14/20

47%

Over 3.5

30%

3/10

40%

4/10

35%

7/20

24%

Over 4.5

20%

2/10

20%

2/10

20%

4/20

11%

Bet

NEW

SWI

Match

League

Yes

80%

8/10

70%

7/10

75%

15/20

56%

Yes and win

10%

1/10

50%

5/10

18%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

60%

6/10

70%

7/10

65%

13/20

41%

Yes and draw

20%

2/10

0%

0/10

10%

2/20

20%

Yes and loss

50%

5/10

20%

2/10

18%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/10

10%

1/10

5%

1/20

–

Bet

NEW

SWI

Match

League

Corners per match

8.7

9.8

9.3

9.9

Over 7.5

70%

7/10

60%

6/10

65%

13/20

70%

Over 8.5

50%

5/10

60%

6/10

55%

11/20

60%

Over 9.5

40%

4/10

50%

5/10

45%

9/20

50%

Over 10.5

20%

2/10

30%

3/10

25%

5/20

39%

Over 11.5

10%

1/10

30%

3/10

20%

4/20

29%

Over 12.5

10%

1/10

30%

3/10

20%

4/20

24%

Referee Declan Bourne: 4.6 cards and 23.0 fouls per game in 9 games this season

Bet

NEW

SWI

Match

League

Cards per match

3.7

3.4

3.5

4.2

Over 2.5

70%

7/10

90%

9/10

80%

16/20

78%

Over 3.5

60%

6/10

40%

4/10

50%

10/20

65%

Over 4.5

40%

4/10

10%

1/10

25%

5/20

44%

Over 5.5

10%

1/10

0%

0/10

5%

1/20

27%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Paul Glatzel

5 starts · 0.5 per 90

0%

0/5

40%

2/5

0%

0/5

0%

0/5

Nathaniel Opoku

3 starts · 0.5 per 90

33%

1/3

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

Ollie Clarke

5 starts · 0.2 per 90

0%

0/5

20%

1/5

0%

0/5

0%

0/5

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.