3 - 0

Full time

Thursday 1 January 2026 · 15:00 · HT 2-0 · Vicarage Road, Watford · Referee Lewis Smith

Watford v Birmingham City: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Watford's last 10 home games and Birmingham City's last 10 away games in the Championship before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 10 of 20, with 9.7 corners per match (league 10.3) and 3.9 cards (league 3.9).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Watford v Birmingham City, full match

45%

Possession

55%

1.56

Expected goals (xG)

0.40

13

Shots

6

Shots on target

2

4

Corners

4

5

Fouls

14

1

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

1

Offsides

3

Goals and cards

9'

Goal

Tom Ince WAT

38'

Goal

Tom Ince WAT

43'

Yellow card

Matthew Pollock WAT

60'

Goal

Tom Ince WAT

63'

Yellow card

Lyndon Dykes BIR

78'

Yellow card

Seung Ho Paik BIR

At a glance

Watford

16th in the table

W

D

Birmingham City

10th in the table

D

L

D

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Watford's home games and Birmingham City's away games in the Championship this season, before kick-off, with players from the lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Watford's last 10 home games and Birmingham City's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

12/20 games · League 57%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

15/20 games · League 76%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

10/20 games · League 51%

Over 3.5 goals

10%

2/20 games · League 25%

Over 9.5 corners

53%

10/19 games · League 55%

Over 3.5 cards

40%

8/20 games · League 53%

Watford clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 25%

Birmingham City clean sheet

10%

1/10 games · League 25%

Watford fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 25%

Birmingham City fail to score

40%

4/10 games · League 25%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.4

League 2.6

Corners (19 games)

9.7

League 10.3

Cards

3.9

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Watford

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Egil Selvik

DEFENDERS

3

6

16

25

MIDFIELDERS

5

Hector Kyprianou

8

Giorgi Chakvetadze

10

Imrân Louza

FORWARDS

7

Tom Ince

9

Luca Kjerrumgaard

42

Othmane Maamma

SUBSTITUTES

12

4

22

29

17

23

18

34

66

Birmingham City

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

25

James Beadle

DEFENDERS

5

6

20

23

MIDFIELDERS

8

Seung Ho Paik

18

Willum Thor Willumsson

24

Tomoki Iwata

FORWARDS

9

Kyogo Furuhashi

14

Keshi Anderson

16

Patrick Roberts

SUBSTITUTES

21

40

41

12

27

17

30

33

42

Referee: Lewis Smith

25 games in the Championship this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.9

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.9

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

19.3

League 21.5

Penalties per game

0.08

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Lewis Smith's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

WAT

BIR

Match

League

Goals per match

2.6

Over 0.5

100%

24/24

100%

24/24

100%

48/48

94%

Over 1.5

75%

18/24

79%

19/24

77%

37/48

75%

Over 2.5

54%

13/24

50%

12/24

52%

25/48

51%

Over 3.5

25%

6/24

25%

6/24

25%

12/48

25%

Over 4.5

8%

2/24

8%

2/24

8%

4/48

11%

Bet

WAT

BIR

Match

League

Yes

71%

17/24

58%

14/24

65%

31/48

59%

Yes and win

29%

7/24

13%

3/24

19%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

50%

12/24

33%

8/24

42%

20/48

43%

Yes and draw

33%

8/24

29%

7/24

31%

15/48

22%

Yes and loss

8%

2/24

17%

4/24

19%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/24

8%

2/24

4%

2/48

–

Bet

WAT

BIR

Match

League

Corners per match

9.7

9.6

10.2

Over 7.5

83%

20/24

70%

16/23

77%

36/47

79%

Over 8.5

67%

16/24

52%

12/23

60%

28/47

69%

Over 9.5

58%

14/24

43%

10/23

51%

24/47

54%

Over 10.5

50%

12/24

39%

9/23

45%

21/47

43%

Over 11.5

25%

6/24

30%

7/23

28%

13/47

33%

Over 12.5

0%

0/24

26%

6/23

13%

6/47

23%

Referee Lewis Smith: 3.9 cards and 19.3 fouls per game in 25 games this season

Bet

WAT

BIR

Match

League

Cards per match

4.3

3.8

Over 2.5

79%

19/24

79%

19/24

79%

38/48

75%

Over 3.5

50%

12/24

50%

12/24

50%

24/48

51%

Over 4.5

46%

11/24

46%

11/24

46%

22/48

32%

Over 5.5

38%

9/24

25%

6/24

31%

15/48

20%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Othmane Maamma

9 starts · 0.4 per 90

0%

0/9

33%

3/9

0%

0/9

0%

0/9

Imrân Louza

21 starts · 0.3 per 90

10%

2/20

29%

6/21

0%

0/21

0%

0/21

Luca Kjerrumgaard

18 starts · 0.5 per 90

11%

2/18

28%

5/18

17%

3/18

0%

0/18

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.