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Saturday 28 February 2026 · 12:30 · HT 0-1 · Referee Ruebyn Ricardo

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Swindon Town's last 10 home games and Bristol Rovers's last 10 away games in League Two before kick-off, both teams scored in 8 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 11 of 20, with 10.7 corners per match (league 9.8) and 4.5 cards (league 3.9).

Based on Swindon Town's 34 League Two games and Bristol Rovers' 33 this season.

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers, full match

54%

Possession

46%

2.00

Expected goals (xG)

0.67

16

Shots

10

6

Shots on target

3

13

Corners

1

11

Fouls

10

1

Yellow cards

4

0

Red cards

0

3

Offsides

0

Goals and cards

32'

Yellow card

Ollie Clarke SWI

32'

Yellow card

Kofi Balmer BRI

43'

Goal

Kane Thompson-Sommers BRI

58'

Goal

Ollie Palmer SWI

83'

Yellow card

Joel Senior BRI

88'

Yellow card

Joe Quigley BRI

90'

Yellow card

Richard Smallwood BRI

At a glance

Swindon Town

9th in the table

L

W

L

W

Bristol Rovers

14th in the table

W

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Swindon Town's home games and Bristol Rovers's away games in League Two this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Swindon Town's last 10 home games and Bristol Rovers's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

40%

8/20 games · League 53%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

15/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

11/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 goals

35%

7/20 games · League 27%

Over 9.5 corners

60%

12/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 cards

70%

14/20 games · League 55%

Swindon Town clean sheet

40%

4/10 games · League 27%

Bristol Rovers clean sheet

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Swindon Town fail to score

10%

1/10 games · League 27%

Bristol Rovers fail to score

60%

6/10 games · League 27%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.7

League 2.6

Corners

10.7

League 9.8

Cards

4.5

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Swindon Town

3-4-1-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Connor Ripley

DEFENDERS

5

19

22

26

30

MIDFIELDERS

8

Ollie Clarke

18

Gavin Kilkenny

25

Aidan Borland

FORWARDS

23

Aaron Drinan

28

Ollie Palmer

SUBSTITUTES

12

33

34

7

24

29

31

Bristol Rovers

4-4-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

13

Brad Young

DEFENDERS

2

5

6

17

MIDFIELDERS

10

Yusuf Akhamrich

14

Kane Thompson-Sommers

15

Ryan De Havilland

36

Richard Smallwood

FORWARDS

19

Ellis Harrison

27

Joe Quigley

SUBSTITUTES

1

3

12

11

24

29

35

Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo

2 games in League Two this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.5

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

4.5

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

26.0

League 23.1

Penalties per game

0.50

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Ruebyn Ricardo's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

SWI

BRI

Match

League

Goals per match

2.8

2.7

2.6

Over 0.5

97%

33/34

97%

32/33

97%

65/67

94%

Over 1.5

82%

28/34

70%

23/33

76%

51/67

73%

Over 2.5

65%

22/34

55%

18/33

60%

40/67

47%

Over 3.5

29%

10/34

33%

11/33

31%

21/67

27%

Over 4.5

9%

3/34

12%

4/33

10%

7/67

11%

Bet

SWI

BRI

Match

League

Yes

56%

19/34

42%

14/33

49%

33/67

53%

Yes and win

26%

9/34

12%

4/33

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

53%

18/34

36%

12/33

45%

30/67

41%

Yes and draw

9%

3/34

6%

2/33

7%

5/67

19%

Yes and loss

21%

7/34

24%

8/33

17%

Yes in both halves

9%

3/34

3%

1/33

6%

4/67

–

Bet

SWI

BRI

Match

League

Corners per match

10.6

9.5

10.0

9.8

Over 7.5

76%

26/34

67%

22/33

72%

48/67

74%

Over 8.5

74%

25/34

52%

17/33

63%

42/67

64%

Over 9.5

65%

22/34

42%

14/33

54%

36/67

52%

Over 10.5

47%

16/34

33%

11/33

40%

27/67

38%

Over 11.5

38%

13/34

24%

8/33

31%

21/67

26%

Over 12.5

29%

10/34

24%

8/33

27%

18/67

20%

Referee Ruebyn Ricardo: 4.5 cards and 26.0 fouls per game in 2 games this season

Bet

SWI

BRI

Match

League

Cards per match

3.6

4.8

4.2

4.1

Over 2.5

71%

24/34

94%

31/33

82%

55/67

79%

Over 3.5

50%

17/34

82%

27/33

66%

44/67

59%

Over 4.5

26%

9/34

61%

20/33

43%

29/67

40%

Over 5.5

21%

7/34

33%

11/33

27%

18/67

22%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Aaron Drinan

28 starts · 0.6 per 90

11%

3/28

50%

14/28

11%

3/28

0%

0/28

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.