Serie A
Sunday 2 November 2025 · 19:45 · HT 1-0 · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan · Referee Marco Guida
Milan v Roma: stats, form and bet builder picks
In Milan's last 5 home games and Roma's last 4 away games in the Serie A before kick-off, both teams scored in 5 of 9, over 2.5 goals in 5 of 9, with 8.7 corners per match (league 8.8) and 4.3 cards (league 3.8).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
Milan v Roma, full match
37%
Possession
63%
3.32
Expected goals (xG)
1.95
17
Shots
20
8
Shots on target
6
7
Corners
8
12
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
1
Goals and cards
34'
Yellow card
Neil El Aynaoui ROM
39'
Goal
Strahinja Pavlović MIL
74'
Yellow card
Wesley ROM
75'
Yellow card
Zeki Çelik ROM
78'
Yellow card
Youssouf Fofana MIL
82'
Penalty missed
Paulo Dybala ROM
83'
Yellow card
Mario Hermoso ROM
90+5'
Yellow card
Gianluca Mancini ROM
Match probabilities
How often each happened in Milan's last 5 home games and Roma's last 4 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
56%
5/9 games · League 45%
Over 1.5 goals
56%
5/9 games · League 70%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
5/9 games · League 46%
Over 3.5 goals
11%
1/9 games · League 22%
Over 9.5 corners
33%
3/9 games · League 40%
Over 3.5 cards
78%
7/9 games · League 54%
Milan clean sheet
20%
1/5 games · League 32%
Roma clean sheet
75%
3/4 games · League 32%
Milan fail to score
0%
0/5 games · League 32%
Roma fail to score
0%
0/4 games · League 32%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.2
League 2.4
Corners
8.7
League 8.8
Cards
4.3
League 3.8
