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Sunday 1 March 2026 · 16:15 · HT 0-0 · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy, Lille · Referee Thomas Leonard

Lille v Nantes: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Lille's last 10 home games and Nantes's last 10 away games in Ligue 1 before kick-off, both teams scored in 12 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 10 of 20, with 10.1 corners per match (league 9.6) and 4.3 cards (league 3.9).

Based on Lille's 23 Ligue 1 games and Nantes' 23 this season.

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Lille v Nantes, full match

73%

Possession

27%

0.51

Expected goals (xG)

0.21

9

Shots

3

Shots on target

1

4

Corners

1

11

Fouls

15

3

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

0

3

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

17'

Yellow card

Mohamed Kaba NAN

76'

Yellow card

Olivier Giroud LIL

76'

Yellow card

Benjamin André LIL

90+4'

Goal

Nathan Ngoy LIL

90+5'

Yellow card

Nathan Ngoy LIL

At a glance

Lille

3rd in the table

W

D

L

Nantes

17th in the table

W

L

Last 5, latest first

Top picks

From Lille's home games and Nantes's away games in Ligue 1 this season, before kick-off, with players from the confirmed lineups. At least 3 games or starts, one pick per kind of bet. Tap one to see it in the Bet builder.

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Lille's last 10 home games and Nantes's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

60%

12/20 games · League 51%

Over 1.5 goals

75%

15/20 games · League 73%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

10/20 games · League 53%

Over 3.5 goals

30%

6/20 games · League 33%

Over 9.5 corners

55%

11/20 games · League 48%

Over 3.5 cards

55%

11/20 games · League 57%

Lille clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 28%

Nantes clean sheet

20%

2/10 games · League 28%

Lille fail to score

20%

2/10 games · League 28%

Nantes fail to score

30%

3/10 games · League 28%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.9

League 2.8

Corners

10.1

League 9.6

Cards

4.3

League 3.9

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Lille

4-2-3-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Berke Özer

DEFENDERS

3

18

22

24

MIDFIELDERS

10

Hakon Arnar Haraldsson

17

Ngal'ayel Mukau

21

Benjamin André

FORWARDS

7

Matías Fernández-Pardo

27

Félix Correia

28

Gaëtan Perrin

SUBSTITUTES

16

12

15

23

6

32

9

20

35

Nantes

5-3-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Anthony Lopes

DEFENDERS

2

3

6

18

27

MIDFIELDERS

8

Johann Lepenant

21

Mohamed Kaba

66

Louis Leroux

FORWARDS

19

Youssef El Arabi

37

Ignatius Ganago

SUBSTITUTES

30

24

78

13

17

20

28

10

31

Referee: Thomas Leonard

17 games in Ligue 1 this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

4.0

League 3.9

Yellow cards per game

3.8

Red cards per game

0.18

Fouls per game

24.3

League 24.1

Penalties per game

0.18

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Thomas Leonard's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

LIL

NAN

Match

League

Goals per match

2.9

2.7

2.8

Over 0.5

96%

22/23

96%

22/23

96%

44/46

93%

Over 1.5

65%

15/23

74%

17/23

70%

32/46

70%

Over 2.5

39%

9/23

48%

11/23

43%

20/46

51%

Over 3.5

26%

6/23

26%

6/23

26%

12/46

33%

Over 4.5

26%

6/23

13%

3/23

20%

9/46

17%

Bet

LIL

NAN

Match

League

Yes

39%

9/23

52%

12/23

46%

21/46

49%

Yes and win

22%

5/23

4%

1/23

17%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

30%

7/23

43%

10/23

37%

17/46

41%

Yes and draw

13%

3/23

17%

4/23

15%

7/46

16%

Yes and loss

4%

1/23

30%

7/23

17%

Yes in both halves

9%

2/23

4%

1/23

7%

3/46

–

Bet

LIL

NAN

Match

League

Corners per match

10.1

9.2

9.7

9.4

Over 7.5

74%

17/23

70%

16/23

72%

33/46

67%

Over 8.5

61%

14/23

65%

15/23

63%

29/46

55%

Over 9.5

52%

12/23

48%

11/23

50%

23/46

44%

Over 10.5

52%

12/23

43%

10/23

48%

22/46

35%

Over 11.5

35%

8/23

30%

7/23

33%

15/46

27%

Over 12.5

35%

8/23

22%

5/23

28%

13/46

20%

Referee Thomas Leonard: 4.0 cards and 24.3 fouls per game in 17 games this season

Bet

LIL

NAN

Match

League

Cards per match

4.2

4.7

4.5

4.0

Over 2.5

74%

17/23

83%

19/23

78%

36/46

77%

Over 3.5

57%

13/23

70%

16/23

63%

29/46

58%

Over 4.5

43%

10/23

48%

11/23

46%

21/46

38%

Over 5.5

26%

6/23

30%

7/23

28%

13/46

21%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Fabien Centonze

6 starts · 0.6 per 90

17%

1/6

50%

3/6

0%

0/6

0%

0/6

See all 22 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.