3 - 1

Full time

Monday 5 October 2026 · 19:45 · HT 1-0 · Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna · Referee Szymon Marciniak

Italy v Türkiye: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Italy's last 1 home game and Türkiye's last 1 away game in the UEFA Nations League before kick-off, both teams scored in 0 of 2, over 2.5 goals in 1 of 2, with 9.5 corners per match (league 8.6) and 8.0 cards (league 4.2).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Italy v Türkiye, full match

45%

Possession

55%

2.03

Expected goals (xG)

1.61

15

Shots

14

6

Shots on target

5

3

Corners

9

11

Fouls

9

2

Yellow cards

2

0

Red cards

0

5

Offsides

0

Goals and cards

26'

Goal

Gianluca Scamacca ITA

42'

Yellow card

Gianluca Scamacca ITA

47'

Yellow card

Matteo Ruggeri ITA

55'

Yellow card

Zeki Çelik TRK

61'

Goal

Aral Şimşir TRK

64'

Goal

Riccardo Calafiori ITA

81'

Yellow card

Abdülkerim Bardakcı TRK

87'

Goal

Pio Esposito ITA

At a glance

Italy

2nd in the table

D

W

L

Türkiye

4th in the table

L

Last 5, latest first

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Italy's last 1 home game and Türkiye's last 1 away game this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

0%

0/2 games · League 46%

Over 1.5 goals

100%

2/2 games · League 72%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

1/2 games · League 50%

Over 3.5 goals

0%

0/2 games · League 20%

Over 9.5 corners

50%

1/2 games · League 38%

Over 3.5 cards

100%

2/2 games · League 62%

Italy clean sheet

0%

0/1 games · League 34%

Türkiye clean sheet

0%

0/1 games · League 34%

Italy fail to score

100%

1/1 games · League 34%

Türkiye fail to score

100%

1/1 games · League 34%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

2.5

League 2.5

Corners

9.5

League 8.6

Cards

8.0

League 4.2

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Italy

4-3-3

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Gianluigi Donnarumma

DEFENDERS

3

6

22

23

MIDFIELDERS

4

Alessandro Romano

15

Issa Doumbia

18

Nicolò Barella

FORWARDS

11

Gianluca Scamacca

17

Daniel Maldini

21

Antonio Vergara

SUBSTITUTES

12

13

2

5

19

8

10

14

16

7

9

20

Türkiye

5-4-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Uğurcan Çakır

DEFENDERS

2

13

14

15

20

MIDFIELDERS

5

Salih Özcan

16

İsmail Yüksek

FORWARDS

10

İrfan Can Kahveci

19

Yunus Akgün

21

Aral Şimşir

SUBSTITUTES

12

23

3

4

22

6

8

17

7

9

11

18

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

2 games in the UEFA Nations League this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

3.0

League 4.2

Yellow cards per game

3.0

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

18.5

League 24.0

Penalties per game

0.50

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Szymon Marciniak's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

ITA

TRK

Match

League

Goals per match

3.0

2.5

Over 0.5

100%

3/3

100%

3/3

100%

6/6

87%

Over 1.5

100%

3/3

67%

2/3

83%

5/6

74%

Over 2.5

33%

1/3

67%

2/3

50%

3/6

48%

Over 3.5

33%

1/3

33%

1/3

33%

2/6

20%

Over 4.5

33%

1/3

33%

1/3

33%

2/6

11%

Bet

ITA

TRK

Match

League

Yes

67%

2/3

33%

1/3

50%

3/6

47%

Yes and win

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

16%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

33%

1/3

33%

1/3

33%

2/6

34%

Yes and draw

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

17%

1/6

15%

Yes and loss

0%

0/3

33%

1/3

16%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/6

–

Bet

ITA

TRK

Match

League

Corners per match

10.0

7.7

8.8

8.4

Over 7.5

100%

3/3

67%

2/3

83%

5/6

62%

Over 8.5

67%

2/3

0%

0/3

33%

2/6

47%

Over 9.5

67%

2/3

0%

0/3

33%

2/6

36%

Over 10.5

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

17%

1/6

20%

Over 11.5

33%

1/3

0%

0/3

17%

1/6

16%

Over 12.5

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/6

7%

Referee Szymon Marciniak: 2.0 cards per game (league 4.2); over 3.5 cards in 0 of 1 game (league 61%).

Bet

ITA

TRK

Match

League

Cards per match

5.7

4.2

Over 2.5

100%

3/3

100%

3/3

100%

6/6

78%

Over 3.5

67%

2/3

67%

2/3

67%

4/6

61%

Over 4.5

67%

2/3

67%

2/3

67%

4/6

41%

Over 5.5

67%

2/3

67%

2/3

67%

4/6

28%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Gianluigi Donnarumma

3 starts · 0.0 per 90

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

Zeki Çelik

3 starts · 0.0 per 90

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

0%

0/3

Alessandro Bastoni

2 starts · 1.0 per 90

50%

1/2

100%

2/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

See all 15 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.

Form

Home / Away

All games

Italy

Last 5 games before this match

2 Oct

France

(A)

1-1

D

28 Sep

Türkiye

(A)

4-1

W

25 Sep

Belgium

(H)

0-2

L

Türkiye

Last 5 games before this match

2 Oct

Belgium

(A)

0-3

L

28 Sep

Italy

(H)

1-4

L

25 Sep

France

(H)

0-1

L

Head to head

League games since 2026/27 (as far back as our data goes), latest first

Italy 1 win · 0 draws · Türkiye 0 wins

Both scored 1/1 · Over 2.5 goals 1/1 · 5.0 goals, 8.0 corners, 3.0 cards per meeting

28 Sep '26

Türkiye

(A)

4-1

W

UEFA Nations League table

League A, Group 1 · 2026/27 · as it stands now

#

Team

P

W

D

L

F

A

GD

Pts

Form (latest first)

1

France

4

3

1

0

7

2

+5

10

W

D

W

2

Italy

4

2

1

8

5

+3

7

W

D

W

L

3

Belgium

4

2

0

2

6

5

+1

6

L

W

L

W

4

Türkiye

4

0

4

2

11

-9

0

L

Italy v Türkiye: stats, form and bet builder picks

Match stats

Goals and cards

At a glance

Match probabilities

Averages per match

Lineups

Italy

Türkiye

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Bet builder stats

Match result›

Clean sheet, win to nil, to score›

Total match goals›

Both teams to score›

Total match corners›

Total match cards›

GoalscorerPer start this season›

Player shots on targetPer start this season›

Player to be cardedPer start this season›

Form

Italy

Türkiye

Head to head

UEFA Nations League table