1 - 0

Full time

Saturday 3 October 2026 · 17:00 · HT 1-0 · A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn · Referee Paweł Raczkowski

Estonia v Luxembourg: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Estonia's last 0 home games and Luxembourg's last 1 away game in the UEFA Nations League before kick-off, both teams scored in 1 of 1, over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1, with 9.0 corners per match (league 8.6) and 4.0 cards (league 4.2).

Overview

Lineups

Bet builder

Form

Table

Match stats

Estonia v Luxembourg, full match

46%

Possession

54%

1.60

Expected goals (xG)

0.56

14

Shots

8

9

Shots on target

2

7

Corners

3

13

Fouls

12

3

Yellow cards

6

0

Red cards

0

4

Offsides

2

Goals and cards

5'

Goal

Rasmus Peetson EST

29'

Yellow card

Enes Mahmutović LUX

68'

Yellow card

Omar Natami LUX

73'

Yellow card

Märten Kuusk EST

78'

Yellow card

Vahid Selimović LUX

82'

Yellow card

Karol Mets EST

84'

Yellow card

Leandro Barreiro LUX

85'

Yellow card

Eldin Džogović LUX

87'

Yellow card

Mathias Olesen LUX

88'

Yellow card

Markus Poom EST

At a glance

Estonia

2nd in the table

D

Luxembourg

4th in the table

L

W

Last 5, latest first

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Estonia's last 0 home games and Luxembourg's last 1 away game this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.

High

Low

Both teams to score

100%

1/1 games · League 46%

Over 1.5 goals

100%

1/1 games · League 72%

Over 2.5 goals

100%

1/1 games · League 50%

Over 3.5 goals

0%

0/1 games · League 20%

Over 9.5 corners

0%

0/1 games · League 38%

Over 3.5 cards

100%

1/1 games · League 62%

Estonia clean sheet

–

0/0 games · League 34%

Luxembourg clean sheet

0%

0/1 games · League 34%

Estonia fail to score

–

0/0 games · League 34%

Luxembourg fail to score

0%

0/1 games · League 34%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together

Goals

3.0

League 2.5

Corners

9.0

League 8.6

Cards

4.0

League 4.2

Lineups

Listed by position group: goalkeepers, defenders, midfielders, forwards.

Estonia

5-3-2

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

12

Matvei Igonen

DEFENDERS

2

3

6

18

19

Michael Schjønning-Larsen

MIDFIELDERS

4

Mattias Käit

10

Kevor Palumets

20

Markus Poom

FORWARDS

14

Patrik Kristal

17

Mattias Männilaan

SUBSTITUTES

1

22

5

13

16

23

7

8

11

15

Maksimilian Skvortsov

9

Karel Mustmaa

21

Alex Matthias Tamm

Luxembourg

4-1-4-1

Confirmed

GOALKEEPER

1

Anthony Moris

DEFENDERS

3

4

5

13

MIDFIELDERS

6

Tomas de Sousa Moreira

7

8

11

15

FORWARDS

9

Jayson Videira Pereira

SUBSTITUTES

12

Tiago Pereira Cardoso

23

2

14

18

22

10

16

17

19

20

Miguel Fernandes Gonçalves

21

Sebastien Thill

Referee: Paweł Raczkowski

1 game in the UEFA Nations League this season, both teams added together

Cards per game

9.0

League 4.2

Yellow cards per game

9.0

Red cards per game

0.00

Fouls per game

25.0

League 24.0

Penalties per game

0.00

A player sent off for two yellows counts as two cards, so cards can be fewer than yellows plus reds.

All Paweł Raczkowski's stats ›

Bet builder stats

How often each bet would have won in each team's games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate. Each team column is that team's own record: "Win" is that team winning, "Goals scored" its own goals. "Match", on lines about the whole match, puts both teams' games together. These follow the switches below, so they can differ from the Overview, which always uses the same set of games.

Home/Away

All games

Season

Last 5

Last 10

Confirmed XI only

All players

Both teams home and away, this season.

High

Low

Bet

EST

LUX

Match

League

Goals per match

1.0

3.0

2.0

2.5

Over 0.5

50%

1/2

100%

2/2

75%

3/4

86%

Over 1.5

50%

1/2

100%

2/2

75%

3/4

75%

Over 2.5

0%

0/2

100%

2/2

50%

2/4

48%

Over 3.5

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/4

20%

Over 4.5

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/4

13%

Bet

EST

LUX

Match

League

Yes

50%

1/2

50%

1/2

50%

2/4

48%

Yes and win

0%

0/2

50%

1/2

16%

Yes and over 2.5 goals

0%

0/2

50%

1/2

25%

1/4

35%

Yes and draw

50%

1/2

0%

0/2

25%

1/4

15%

Yes and loss

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

16%

Yes in both halves

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/4

–

Bet

EST

LUX

Match

League

Corners per match

11.0

6.5

8.8

8.4

Over 7.5

100%

2/2

50%

1/2

75%

3/4

63%

Over 8.5

100%

2/2

50%

1/2

75%

3/4

46%

Over 9.5

100%

2/2

0%

0/2

50%

2/4

32%

Over 10.5

50%

1/2

0%

0/2

25%

1/4

23%

Over 11.5

50%

1/2

0%

0/2

25%

1/4

20%

Over 12.5

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/4

8%

Referee Paweł Raczkowski: 9.0 cards and 25.0 fouls per game in 1 game this season

Bet

EST

LUX

Match

League

Cards per match

4.0

5.0

4.5

4.0

Over 2.5

100%

2/2

100%

2/2

100%

4/4

76%

Over 3.5

50%

1/2

100%

2/2

75%

3/4

55%

Over 4.5

50%

1/2

50%

1/2

50%

2/4

35%

Over 5.5

0%

0/2

50%

1/2

25%

1/4

23%

Player

First

1+

2+

3+

Maksim Paskotsi

2 starts · 0.5 per 90

0%

0/2

50%

1/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

Vincent Thill

2 starts · 0.7 per 90

0%

0/2

50%

1/2

0%

0/2

0%

0/2

Kevor Palumets

1 start · 0.0 per 90

0%

0/1

0%

0/1

0%

0/1

0%

0/1

See all 16 players with a free account →

Players listed: the confirmed XI for each side. Players with fewer than 3 starts are listed last, greyed. Per 90 figures show once a player has 90 minutes in the starts picked.

Form

Home / Away

All games

Estonia

Last 5 games before this match

29 Sep

Bulgaria

(A)

0-0

D

26 Sep

Iceland

(A)

1-1

D

Luxembourg

Last 5 games before this match

29 Sep

Iceland

(H)

0-3

L

26 Sep

Bulgaria

(A)

2-1

W

Head to head

League games since 2026/27 (as far back as our data goes), latest first

Estonia and Luxembourg haven't met in a league game since 2026/27.

UEFA Nations League table

League C, Group 4 · 2026/27 · as it stands now

#

Team

P

W

D

L

F

A

GD

Pts

Form (latest first)

1

Iceland

4

2

0

7

1

+6

8

D

W

D

2

Estonia

4

1

3

0

2

1

+1

6

D

W

D

3

Bulgaria

4

1

2

3

5

-2

4

W

L

D

L

4

Luxembourg

4

1

0

3

2

7

-5

3

L

W

Estonia v Luxembourg: stats, form and bet builder picks

Match stats

Goals and cards

At a glance

Match probabilities

Averages per match

Lineups

Estonia

Luxembourg

Referee: Paweł Raczkowski

Bet builder stats

Match result›

Clean sheet, win to nil, to score›

Total match goals›

Both teams to score›

Total match corners›

Total match cards›

GoalscorerPer start this season›

Player shots on targetPer start this season›

Player to be cardedPer start this season›

Form

Estonia

Luxembourg

Head to head

UEFA Nations League table