Premier League
4 - 2
Full time
Friday 15 May 2026 · 20:00 · HT 1-0 · Villa Park, Birmingham · Referee Chris Kavanagh

Aston Villa v Liverpool: stats, form and bet builder picks

In Aston Villa's last 10 home games and Liverpool's last 10 away games in the Premier League before kick-off, both teams scored in 13 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 12 of 20, with 10.0 corners per match (league 9.9) and 4.0 cards (league 3.9).

Match stats

Aston Villa v Liverpool, full match
45%
Possession
55%
1.85
Expected goals (xG)
1.43
14
Shots
16
9
Shots on target
5
4
Corners
9
12
Fouls
9
3
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
3

Goals and cards

39'
Yellow card
Matty Cash AST
42'
Goal
Morgan Rogers AST
45+3'
Yellow card
Ollie Watkins AST
52'
Goal
Virgil van Dijk LIV
57'
Goal
Ollie Watkins AST
62'
Yellow card
Joe Gomez LIV
66'
Yellow card
John McGinn AST
73'
Goal
Ollie Watkins AST
89'
Goal
John McGinn AST
90+2'
Goal
Virgil van Dijk LIV

Match probabilities

How often each happened in Aston Villa's last 10 home games and Liverpool's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
Both teams to score
65%
13/20 games · League 56%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
14/20 games · League 79%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
12/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
6/20 games · League 28%
Over 9.5 corners
60%
12/20 games · League 56%
Over 3.5 cards
50%
10/20 games · League 57%
Aston Villa clean sheet
20%
2/10 games · League 26%
Liverpool clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 26%
Aston Villa fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 26%
Liverpool fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 26%

Averages per match

Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.9
League 2.8
Corners
10.0
League 9.9
Cards
4.0
League 3.9