Premier League
Wednesday 4 March 2026 · 19:30 · HT 1-2 · Villa Park, Birmingham · Referee Jarred Gillett
Aston Villa v Chelsea: stats, form and bet builder picks
In Aston Villa's last 10 home games and Chelsea's last 10 away games in the Premier League before kick-off, both teams scored in 11 of 20, over 2.5 goals in 10 of 20, with 10.0 corners per match (league 9.9) and 4.5 cards (league 3.9).
Overview
Lineups
Bet builder
Form
Table
Match stats
Aston Villa v Chelsea, full match
43%
Possession
57%
0.88
Expected goals (xG)
3.92
9
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
8
3
Corners
8
10
Fouls
9
3
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
2
Goals and cards
2'
Goal
Douglas Luiz AST
32'
Yellow card
Matty Cash AST
35'
Goal
João Pedro CHE
45+6'
Goal
João Pedro CHE
54'
Yellow card
João Pedro CHE
55'
Goal
Cole Palmer CHE
58'
Yellow card
Enzo Fernández CHE
58'
Yellow card
Morgan Rogers AST
64'
Goal
João Pedro CHE
68'
Yellow card
Ollie Watkins AST
Match probabilities
How often each happened in Aston Villa's last 10 home games and Chelsea's last 10 away games this season, before kick-off, with the league rate beside it.
High
Low
Both teams to score
55%
11/20 games · League 56%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
13/20 games · League 79%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
10/20 games · League 55%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
6/20 games · League 28%
Over 9.5 corners
65%
13/20 games · League 56%
Over 3.5 cards
65%
13/20 games · League 57%
Aston Villa clean sheet
40%
4/10 games · League 26%
Chelsea clean sheet
30%
3/10 games · League 26%
Aston Villa fail to score
20%
2/10 games · League 26%
Chelsea fail to score
10%
1/10 games · League 26%
Averages per match
Same games, both teams added together
Goals
2.4
League 2.8
Corners
10.0
League 9.9
Cards
4.5
League 3.9
